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Jordan Foote· Nov 8, 2026

Foote expects the Chiefs to rebound at home against the Jets, arguing Geno Smith can't keep pace with Patrick Mahomes and that only turnovers or penalties would keep the game close.

“it's hard to see anything other than turnovers or penalties making this too close of a game, in my view”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 8, 2026

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets

    “it's virtually impossible to trust this version of Smith to go toe-to-toe with Patrick Mahomes if he's on his game... it's hard to see anything other than turnovers or penalties making this too close of a game, in my view.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).

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