JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 24, 2026
Acosta's bold prediction for day two is that LSU's Garrett Nussmeier will be the third quarterback selected, landing with the Arizona Cardinals (though not at pick 34). They also projected Arvell Reese to play inside linebacker for the Giants and named R Mason Thomas as a fit for the 49ers at pick 33.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original
What JP Acosta said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromGarrett Nussmeier is the third quarterback off the board to the Arizona Cardinals.
- Where it was said
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)
- The episode
- 2026 NFL Draft Round 1 Recap + Day 2 Preview: Best Available + Bold Predictions
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 24
- GradedAug 14
- 1Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board“Garrett Nussmeier is the third quarterback off the board to the Arizona Cardinals. I don't think it's gonna be at 34, but I I've said before that the gap between Simpson Nussmeier isn't as big”
- 2R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 33“Pick 33 to the niners. I think R Mason Thomas is a first round caliber player.”
- 3Arvell Reese to be 1st on the depth chart“I do I think they're gonna play him at inside linebacker, which is where I think he's going to have the most immediate, like, impact.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board1 | Position Order Calls | — | 8.84 | 33.08 | −24.24 | |
| R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 332 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 40 | 73.84 | 50 | — | |
| Arvell Reese to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 41.3 | 41.5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 41.3 out of 100, against 41.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
1Position Order CallsGarrett NussmeierArizona Cardinals
Garrett Nussmeier to be 3rd quarterback off the board
VerdictMiss8.84Miss · naive 33.088.84this call−33.08a naive guess=−24.24worse than naive×1difficulty=−24.24skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
- skill:
- −24.24
- player:
- Garrett Nussmeier
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 8.84
- baseline:
- 33.08
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 10
- predicted order:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Mock Draft PicksR Mason ThomasSan Francisco 49ers
R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 33
What happenedWent 40mocked at 3373.84Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- R Mason Thomas
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 33
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Depth Chart CallsArvell ReeseNew York Giants
Arvell Reese to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
41.3naive 41.5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.Jordan Dajani · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Kendall · Miss 0
Dajani expects Cam Jurgens to move back to center as the Ravens' starter after the trade, and projects a rebuilt Eagles offensive line for Week 5 with Jordan Mailata, Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Tyler Steen and Markel Bell starting from left tackle to right tackle.