Greg Auman· Oct 2, 2026
Auman predicts when each of the NFL's five remaining undefeated teams will lose its first game, with the Raiders and 49ers falling in Week 4, the Bills in Week 5 at the Rams, the Chiefs in Week 7 at Seattle, and the Vikings lasting longest before losing in Week 8 at Detroit.
“I think it's the same result this time around. The Bills lose, and the question is whether they get another game on that field ...”
published in writing · Fox Sports · read the original →
10 checkable claims — 10 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Bills 36 calls
- Dolphins at Vikings 23 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 35 calls
- Broncos at 49ers 27 calls
- Vikings at Saints 4 calls
- Bills at Rams 8 calls
- Chargers at Chiefs 6 calls
- Colts at Vikings 1 call
- Chiefs at Seahawks 7 calls
- Vikings at Lions 2 calls
10 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 2, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
“The Bills are not going to let the Patriots come in and hand them their first loss in the new stadium, right? New England has struggled enough that it seems a safe assumption”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 29-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 2, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Dolphins
“They face the lowly Dolphins (that could be a shutout) ... All three are very winnable games, so we'll have Minnesota staying undefeated into a big division showdown in Week 8”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 10-15
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 2, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
“Las Vegas Raiders: Week 4 vs. Chiefs ... Kansas City is a 4.5-point road favorite in Las Vegas this week, and I think it'll end up easier than that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 30-27
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat San Francisco 49ers
“San Francisco 49ers: Week 4 vs. Broncos ... it feels like a potential get-right game for them.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 14-24
- skill:
- −183
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 2, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Saints
“the exciting-but-still-turnover-prone Saints ... All three are very winnable games, so we'll have Minnesota staying undefeated into a big division showdown in Week 8”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 2, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Colts
“a bye week and then the Colts over the next four weeks. All three are very winnable games, so we'll have Minnesota staying undefeated”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 2, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat Minnesota Vikings
“Minnesota Vikings: Week 8 @ Lions ... if any offense can handle Minnesota's aggressive, blitz-happy front, it should be them”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 2, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Buffalo Bills
“Buffalo Bills: Week 5 @ Rams ... I think it's the same result this time around. The Bills lose”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 2, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers
“We expect them to take care of the Raiders on Sunday and a backs-against-the-wall Chargers team the following week”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 2, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Kansas City Chiefs
“Kansas City Chiefs: Week 7 @ Seahawks ... Seattle should put Kansas City in the loss column, finally.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike KadlickScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 43Kadlick predicts a Sunday night shootout in Charlotte, with Detroit beating Carolina 41–38 after four fourth-quarter lead changes to move to 3–1 while the Panthers fall to 1–3.
- Tyler BrownGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Brown expects a grind of a game that the Raiders keep close, but believes Kansas City's weapons and experience in tight games carry the Chiefs to the win.
- Jordan FooteGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Foote doubts the Raiders' hot start is sustainable and picks the Chiefs to win on the road by one score.
- Joshua BriscoGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Brisco expects the Raiders' edge rushers and Brock Bowers to create matchup problems, but picks Kansas City to win a close Week 4 game as the better overall team.
- Brandon KnappScore Predictions · Detroit LionsMiss · 12Predicts a lopsided Lions win over Carolina, 42-20.
- Zac SnyderScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 48Takes Detroit 31-26 over the Panthers.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Grant GordonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts Tyler Shough throws for 400 yards and the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, with a blocked punt recovered for a touchdown.
- Bobby KownackGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, sealing it with a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in the game's final minutes.
- Mitchell EisensteinGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Eisenstein ranked the Bills first in his top five entering Week 4 and made picks across the week's games, including the Chiefs by two touchdowns over the Raiders as his "lock of the week," the Lions by 10 at Carolina, and Tyreek Hill signing with the Raiders.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsHit · 100Sherman gave his own top five entering Week 4 with the 49ers first, then made picks in every Week 4 game, including upset calls for Carolina over Detroit (with a 36-31 scoreline), Tampa Bay over Green Bay, Washington over Indianapolis and Jacksonville over Cincinnati.
- Ross JacksonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Ross Jackson gave a game-by-game projection of the Saints' 2026 season, predicting they open 0-2 on the road, go 5-1 in the division and finish 10-7 (possibly better), making them a double-digit-win contender for the NFC South crown.
- Pete MartuneacGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.