Mason DoddAug 10, 2025
Mason went round-by-round with fantasy draft targets, headlined by CeeDee Lamb as a potential overall WR1 at pick six, Devon Achane as a first-round talent falling to round two, Trey McBride outscoring every round-three receiver, and Treveon Henderson as the one player they must leave every draft with.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Mason Dodd said
I think Trey McBride outscores every wide receiver going in round three.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast - Top Fantasy Football Draft Picks | Targets for EVERY ROUND (Ep. 1642)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidAug 10, 2025
- GradedAug 5–19, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper Calls | 7 | 0 | 8 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Positional Finishes | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| All | 8 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
How each call scored
18 checkable claims — 15 sleeper calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 25 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 18 have settled, averaging 48.6 out of 100, against 53.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Sleeper Calls7 hits · 8 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)
“Yeah, Trey Benson. Think he's a premium hand cut back, great prospect coming out last year... hopefully he does have an expanded role.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round twelve
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Trey Benson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB66
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB79
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (round eleven)
“Tyler Warren, great collusion, production, great draft capital, I end, great athleticism”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round eleven
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tyler Warren
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (middle to possibly the end of the fourth round)
“you can consistently get Jalen Hurts in the middle to possibly the end of the fourth round in drafts... round four is a very reasonable price”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- middle to possibly the end of the fourth round
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jalen Hurts
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- cost round:
- 4
- had to beat:
- QB9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the cost the source quoted — middle to possibly the end of the fourth round
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (pick one forty eight on ESPN)
“he goes pick one forty eight on ESPN, which is crazy. Josh Downs... This is another young wide receiver that is flash talents, continuing to get better.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- pick one forty eight on ESPN
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Josh Downs
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR38
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR50
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (pick ninety one Yahoo one oh three sleeper and pick one hundred on ESPN)
“This leaves Ricky Pierce Hall is the only dude in this offense goes pick ninety one Yahoo one oh three sleeper and pick one hundred on ESPN.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- pick ninety one Yahoo one oh three sleeper and pick one hundred on ESPN
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Ricky Pearsall
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR81
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR78
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round three)
“Hopefully he stays in round three... had to call out Chase Brown here... Zach Moss released, so the only competition is gonna be TODJ. Brooks”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round three
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Chase Brown
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)
“they're telling us that Braylen Allen's going to be involved in this offense... if anything were to cur to breesall it could be a league winner”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round fourteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Braelon Allen
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB51
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB94
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Trey McBride to outplay his draft cost (round three)
“I think Trey McBride outscores every wide receiver going in round three.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round three
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Trey McBride
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (Round six)
“We're gonna go Trevion Henderson and you have an elite prospect profile. Perfect situation if it wasn't for Amadre being there, I think this would be a Round three pick.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- Round six
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- TreVeyon Henderson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB19
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (pick sixteen)
“So I think it's a round two pick that should be a round one pick.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- pick sixteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- De'Von Achane
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
J.K. Dobbins to outplay his draft cost (round ten)
“I'm going to go JK. Dobbins. I think you have the premium handcuff appeal if R. J. Harvey were to get injured... I think Dobbins crushes”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round ten
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- J.K. Dobbins
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB21
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB37
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (round five)
“I'm going to take Xavier Worthy... So I'm completely fine drafting Zavier Worthy is like my wide receiver three.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round five
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Xavier Worthy
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR32
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR59
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (pick six)
“I think Ceedee Lamb's in a really good spot to just potentially be the wide receiver one overall that you can get a pick six.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- pick six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR23
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Jerome Ford to outplay his draft cost (Round thirteen)
“Love Jerome Ford. He could be a starting running back week one.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- Round thirteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Jerome Ford
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB37
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB86
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Miles Sanders to outplay his draft cost (Round fifteen)
“It's gonna be Miles Sanders not trending well... I would expect that you actually have to spend a reasonable draft on Blue where Miles Sanders could be your last pick.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- Round fifteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Miles Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB59
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB85
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Depth Chart Calls1 hit · 1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Jerome Ford to be 1st on the depth chart
“He could be a starting running back week one.”
No. 4called No. 1 · by rushing yards75Close75 − 75 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jerome Ford
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Tyler Warren to be 1st on the depth chart
“and he's gonna play almost eighty percent of the snaps Week one”
No. 1called No. 1 · by receptions100Hit100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 2 difficulty = +16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Tyler Warren
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- TE
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Positional Finishes1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
CeeDee Lamb to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“potentially be the wide receiver one overall that you can get a pick six”
Finished #22called #1 · by fantasy points0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 9
- actual finish:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
Who this take is about
Trey Benson, Arizona Cardinals, Tyler Warren, Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles, Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts, Ricky Pearsall, Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals, Braelon Allen, Trey McBride, TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots, De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins, J.K. Dobbins, Denver Broncos, Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs, CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys, Jerome Ford, Cleveland Browns, Miles Sanders
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Chris Rodriguez Jr. · Hit 100
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Hit 100
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.