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Tom StrachanAug 30, 2025

Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
30.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Tom Strachan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I wouldn't be surprised if he leads the Bucks in catches this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he leads them in yards as well.
Tom Strachan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
FantasyPros - High-Upside Fantasy Football Draft Picks | Wide Receiver Breakout Candidates (Ep. 1678)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 30, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–19, 2026
  1. 1Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)“But I do believe that he can take the leap this year, having a much cleaner off season”
  2. 2Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (the late rounds)“this year I have been hammering Jalen Cocker in the late rounds because the writing's been on the wall”
  3. 3Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart“I wouldn't be surprised if he leads the Books in catches this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he leads them in yards as well”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)1Sleeper Calls—1000+200
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (the late rounds)2Sleeper Calls—1000+200
Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+16.67
3 calls · 3 hits · all settled10030.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 sleeper calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 30.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Sleeper CallsRicky PearsallSan Francisco 49ers

    Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    wide receiver thirty five
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Ricky Pearsall
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR81
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR78
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Sleeper CallsJalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (the late rounds)

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    the late rounds
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Jalen Coker
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR83
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR71
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsEmeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by receptions
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    TB
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Emeka Egbuka
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 30.6

Others on the same people

More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.