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Kristopher Knox· Oct 10, 2026

Knox expects Marvin Harrison Jr.'s time in Arizona to end, predicting a team willing to bet on his upside will acquire the receiver before the trade deadline, though for more than the Day-3 price some teams assign him.

“it feels like a team willing to bet on his upside could snag him before the deadline.”

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One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to move — “could be traded before the deadline”

    “The Cardinals probably won't let Harrison go for that low a price, but it feels like a team willing to bet on his upside could snag him before the deadline.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    178
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → HOU
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

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