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Pete MartuneacSep 1, 2026

Martuneac argues that undrafted rookie defensive back Skyler Thomas, despite making the Bears' initial 53-man roster and grading highly in the preseason, is likely to be released before the Week 1 opener against Carolina. They also note in passing that Cleveland is in the running for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 draft.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Pete Martuneac said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
That said, and even though he made the Bears' initial 53-man roster, Thomas may yet be released ahead of the Bears' Week 1 season opener against the Carolina Panthers, and not for no reason.
Pete Martuneac, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Skyler Thomas' Elite Grade Might Not Save Him From the Bears' Roster Crunch
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 1
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Skyler Thomas to be cut“That said, and even though he made the Bears' initial 53-man roster, Thomas may yet be released ahead of the Bears' Week 1 season opener against the Carolina Panthers, and not for no reason.”
  2. 2Cleveland Browns to pick “in the race for the No. 1 overall pick”“the Browns are in the race for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 draft”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Skyler Thomas to be cut1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 53000
Cleveland Browns to pick “in the race for the No. 1 overall pick”2Team Draft Slot Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 roster spot call and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Skyler Thomas
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he does not make the 53
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Team Draft Slot CallsCleveland Browns

    Cleveland Browns to pick “in the race for the No. 1 overall pick”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.