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Ron RiveraJan 6, 2026

Rivera ranked the six NFC playoff teams playing on wild-card weekend, counting up from Carolina at six through Green Bay, San Francisco, Chicago and the Rams to Philadelphia.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

86Hit · out of 100
Power RankingsThe callsettled
68.57A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
85.71This callout of 100
+17.14Skillafter difficulty

What Ron Rivera said

But that's where I got San Francisco. And then Chicago.
Ron Rivera’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Tuesday Hour 2: Rankings NFC Playoff Teams, MISSED FG'S! Ron Rivera joins!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 6
  2. GradedAug 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 85.7 out of 100, against 68.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Power Rankings

    “you know, Carolina obviously it is... My next team is Green Bay... But that's where I got San Francisco. And then Chicago... Then I got the I got the rams... and in Philadelphia, this is a team that at times just seem like they were bored”

    VerdictHit
    85.71Hit · naive 68.57
    85.71this call68.57a naive guess17.14better than naive1difficulty+17.14skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    17.14
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    68.57
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

More power rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.