Mike MoraitisAug 18, 2026

Moraitis expects D'Andre Swift's workload to spike while Kyle Monangai is out, with a floor of 20 touches a game that could push them into RB1 range temporarily; they also expect Roschon Johnson to be the RB3 and primary beneficiary behind Swift, with both Johnson and Salvon Ahmed making Chicago's roster.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 3Settled1 still waiting

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Mike Moraitis said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

It's fair to believe that Swift's floor for touches will be 20 per game in that scenario, which could propel him into RB1 territory.

Mike Moraitis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Kyle Monangai Injury Fallout: D'Andre Swift's Fantasy Football Stock, Bears Handcuffs
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 18
GradedSep 25–Nov 9

1Salvon Ahmed to make the roster“both Ahmed and Johnson will make the cut if Monangai isn't ready for the start of the regular season”
2Roschon Johnson to make the roster“both Ahmed and Johnson will make the cut if Monangai isn't ready for the start of the regular season”
3Roschon Johnson to be 3rd on the depth chart“Johnson worked ahead of Ahmed in the contest, so he appears to be the front-runner for the RB3 role right now.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Salvon Ahmed to make the roster¹	Roster Spot Calls	1 week on a 53	100	0	+200
Roschon Johnson to make the roster²	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Roschon Johnson to be 3rd on the depth chart³	Depth Chart Calls	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting			100	50

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 roster spot calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Roster Spot Calls Salvon Ahmed Chicago Bears
Salvon Ahmed to make the roster
What happened1 week on a 53
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
200
player:
Salvon Ahmed
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
1
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
9
weeks on the practice squad:
8
Think this is wrong?
2Roster Spot Calls Roschon Johnson Chicago Bears
Roschon Johnson to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
0
player:
Roschon Johnson
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Depth Chart Calls Roschon Johnson Chicago Bears
Roschon Johnson to be 3rd on the depth chart
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

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