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Chosen AndersonJun 26, 2025

The free agent receiver picked the 49ers as their team in the NFC West, believing the division comes down to San Francisco and the Rams, said Jaxon Smith-Njigba will be a top-ten receiver this season, and agreed Stafford is a first-ballot Hall of Famer.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
12.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
12.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Chosen Anderson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I like forty nine ers, That's my favorite in the NFC Wes.
Chosen Anderson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 1: Is Matthew Stafford 1st Ballot HOF? Best in NFC West, Top-5 TE's in NFL
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1San Francisco 49ers to win the division“I like forty nine ers, That's my favorite in the NFC Wes... But I think it's gonna come down to them in the rounds.”
  2. 2Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards“definitely definitely top ten receiving in NFLS season.”
  3. 3Matthew Stafford to make first ballot Hall of Famer“So you can't put the losing in Detroit on him... so in my opinion, I believe so.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
San Francisco 49ers to win the division1Division Winners—000
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards2Positional FinishesFinished #125250
Matthew Stafford to make first ballot Hall of Famer3Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting12.512.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 positional finish and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 12.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards

    What happenedFinished #1called #10 · by receiving yards
    25Miss · naive 25
    25this call25a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    25
    position:
    WR
    ranked by:
    receiving yards
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    10
    actual finish:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsMatthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams

    Matthew Stafford to make first ballot Hall of Famer

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    12.5naive 12.5

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.