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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 11, 2026

Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
37.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
9.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Number One Seattle, between Mike McDonald, John Snyder, his drafting record, Sam Donold... they're already really really good.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - The early top 10 teams for 2026, NFL draft prospects, Greg Cosell
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 11
  2. GradedAug 7–17
  1. 1Los Angeles Chargers to win the division“I have the Chargers winning the division next year. Denver second Kansas City third today”
  2. 2Power Rankings“I'm gonna do a top ten after the coaching hires, after free agency, and after the draft... here we go number ten. I think the Chiefs... Number nine would be Buffalo... number eight the Patriots... Number seven I would say the Detroit Lions... Number six... the Jaguars... I think the Chargers are going to feel like a Super Bowl team in September... I'd put the Bears at four... Number three the Denver Broncos... Number two... the Rams... Number One Seattle”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division1Division Winners—000
“I'm gonna do a top ten after the coaching hires, after free…”2Power Rankings—75.1518.79+56.36
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled37.69.4

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 37.6 out of 100, against 9.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “I'm gonna do a top ten after the coaching hires, after free agency, and after the draft... here we go number ten. I think the Chiefs... Number nine would be Buffalo... number eight the Patriots... Number seven I would say the Detroit Lions... Number six... the Jaguars... I think the Chargers are going to feel like a Super Bowl team in September... I'd put the Bears at four... Number three the Denver Broncos... Number two... the Rams... Number One Seattle”

    VerdictClose
    75.15Close · naive 18.79
    75.15this call18.79a naive guess56.36better than naive1difficulty+56.36skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    56.36
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    75.15
    baseline:
    18.79
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    37.6naive 9.4

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.