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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 27, 2026

Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · 3 waiting
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
78.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 6Settled3 still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I have The New York Giants winning the division, Philadelphia second, Washington third, and Dallas fourth as of now.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - NFL team reviews have leaked, live from the NFL Combine, Robert Mays
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 27
  2. GradedAug 7–Sep 18
  1. 1Dallas Cowboys to finish with 6–7 wins“I don't think they'll be. AWFUL i think they'll be a six or seven win, team”
  2. 2New York Giants to win the division“I have The New York giants winning the, Division philadelphia, Second washington, third And dallas fourth as of. NOW”
  3. 3Ty Simpson to be picked “late in first round” (picks 1–32)“So my take is I could see the Rams late in first round saying listen, Stafford signs a two year deal. This kid's not ready to play.”
  4. 4Isaiah Likely to move“Isaiah. Likely you know it's he's an interesting. Player baltimore's probably gonna have to let him. Go”
  5. 5Malik Willis to move“Malie willis is gonna get thirty million somewhere”
  6. 6Kayvon Thibodeaux to move“so the Former Oregon duck will eventually land somewhere AND i think there'll be a market for. Him”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 6–7 wins1Season Win Totals710085+15
New York Giants to win the division2Division Winners—0100−100
Ty Simpson to be picked “late in first round” (picks 1–32)3Mock Draft PicksWent 1310050—
Isaiah Likely to move4Trade and Signing Calls————
Malik Willis to move5Trade and Signing Calls————
Kayvon Thibodeaux to move6Trade and Signing Calls————
6 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · 3 waiting66.778.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls, 1 division winner, 1 mock draft pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 78.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins
6–7 wins (6–7 wins)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 6–7 wins

    What happened7called 6–7 wins
    100Hit · naive 85
    100this call85a naive guess15better than naive1difficulty+15skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    naive:
    7.75
    skill:
    15
    what happened:
    7
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    85
    they said:
    6–7 wins (6–7 wins)
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Division WinnersNew York Giants

    New York Giants to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −100
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Ty Simpson to be picked “late in first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 13
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    late in first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 78.3

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.