Richard Sherman· Jan 25, 2025
Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen.
“But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
11 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls, 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 11 have settled, averaging 59.1 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
11 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsDetroit LionsJan 25, 2025
Detroit Lions to finish with 15–16 wins
“So do I think they're gonna go fifteen and two or sixteen and one next year? I doubt it. I think they're still going to be a good team, and I think it's still going to be a championship contender in the NFC.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 5+95 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- 95
- what happened:
- 15
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 15–16 wins (15–16 wins)
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsSam DarnoldNew York JetsJan 25, 2025
Sam Darnold to move to New York Jets
“prodigal son returns home to the New York Jets, the place that threw him away like a bag of still lays. I mean it, it could happen.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYJ
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Charvarius Ward to move to San Francisco 49ers
“Tarvarius Wards likely won't be back his family. His wife said she can't deal with the trauma of being in California.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Charvarius Ward
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- SF
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- IND
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“But I could see that happening the Las Vegas Raiders if they get somebody, you know, if they if they don't feel like they can get the guy they want to draft, and see them them taking a shot at him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Sam Darnold to move to New York Giants
“I could see him being a bridge quarterback at some of these places, the Giants being one of them”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersJan 25, 2025
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“he's elevating He's increasing the overalls of the players around him, and I think that's gonna be enough for them to win this game.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 23-55
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Conference ChampionsWashington CommandersJan 25, 2025
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
“I think that's gonna be enough for them to win this game.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 100-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI,KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsJan 25, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo Bills
“But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 29-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsJan 25, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done. I think there are evenly matched teams. But Andy, Andy Reid and that pedigree”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI,KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- yes
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia EaglesJan 25, 2025
Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Makes him an MVP candidate, likely Offensive Player of the Year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Christian McCaffrey, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Saquon Barkley
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Depth Chart CallsSam DarnoldMinnesota VikingsJan 25, 2025
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
“I wouldn't go into the season without Sam Donald because that's a known commodity, especially within this system.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- David DroegemeierTrade and Signing Calls · Mekhi BectonHit · 100Drogemeier says the Chargers cutting Mekhi Becton is a foregone conclusion, freeing nearly $9 million in cap space, and only a matter of when.
- Mina KimesTrade and Signing Calls · Mekhi BectonHit · 100Kimes projects Washington receiver Denzel Boston as a second-half-of-the-first-round pick and expects the Chargers to move on from Mekhi Becton.
- Bryan DeArdoTrade and Signing Calls · Darius SlaytonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece on the Giants releasing Darius Slayton predicts he will be signed by another NFL team fairly quickly, and lists possible landing spots without committing to one.
- Noah StrackbeinTrade and Signing Calls · Darius SlaytonHit · 100Strackbein says Pittsburgh views Roman Wilson as its No. 3 receiver behind DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr., but argues the Steelers should add released Giants veteran Darius Slayton as insurance, expecting Slayton to sign cheaply on a veteran-minimum deal, and refers to 2026 as Aaron Rodgers' final season.
- Patricia TrainaTrade and Signing Calls · Darius SlaytonHit · 100Traina writes that the Giants may make more trades before the roster cutdown and names the players she sees as the most likely candidates to be dealt: kicker Ben Sauls, one of receivers Darius Slayton or Darnell Mooney, offensive lineman Jake Kubas, and linebacker Darius Muasau.
- Greg AumanTrade and Signing Calls · Will LevisHit · 100Auman predicts that Will Levis, released by Tennessee, will almost certainly be claimed on waivers by another team.