Richard Sherman#43 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 25, 2025
Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. They also expect Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though they hedge that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen.
Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Richard Sherman said
But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done.
- Where it was said
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- Richard Sherman Podcast - NFL Championship Round Predictions
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 24, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Sep 18, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Win Totals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trade and Signing Calls | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Game Outcome Picks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Conference Champions | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Award Picks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
11 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls, 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 11 have settled, averaging 59.1 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
Season Win Totals1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Detroit Lions to finish with 15–16 wins
“So do I think they're gonna go fifteen and two or sixteen and one next year? I doubt it. I think they're still going to be a good team, and I think it's still going to be a championship contender in the NFC.”
15called 15–16 wins100Hit100 − 5 naive = 95 × 1 difficulty = +95 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- 95
- what happened:
- 15
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 5
- they said:
- 15–16 wins (15–16 wins)
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Trade and Signing Calls1 hit · 3 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Sam Darnold to move to New York Jets
“prodigal son returns home to the New York Jets, the place that threw him away like a bag of still lays. I mean it, it could happen.”
Ended up with SEAcalled NYJ0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYJ
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Charvarius Ward to move to San Francisco 49ers
“Tarvarius Wards likely won't be back his family. His wife said she can't deal with the trauma of being in California.”
Ended up with IND100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Charvarius Ward
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- SF
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- IND
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“But I could see that happening the Las Vegas Raiders if they get somebody, you know, if they if they don't feel like they can get the guy they want to draft, and see them them taking a shot at him.”
Ended up with SEAcalled LV0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Sam Darnold to move to New York Giants
“I could see him being a bridge quarterback at some of these places, the Giants being one of them”
Ended up with SEAcalled NYG0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Game Outcome Picks1 hit · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“he's elevating He's increasing the overalls of the players around him, and I think that's gonna be enough for them to win this game.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 1 difficulty = −100 skill
Closing line (Jan 26): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (31%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 23-55
- skill:
- −100
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo Bills
“But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done.”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Chiefs 52%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 29-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Conference Champions1 hit · 1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
“I think that's gonna be enough for them to win this game.”
PHI and KC wonpicked WAS50Close50 − 100 naive = −50 × 1 difficulty = −50 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −50
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done. I think there are evenly matched teams. But Andy, Andy Reid and that pedigree”
PHI and KC wonpicked KC100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- yes
- lost the conference final:
- no
Award Picks1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Makes him an MVP candidate, likely Offensive Player of the Year.”
Saquon Barkley won100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1 difficulty = +100 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Christian McCaffrey, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- who won:
- Saquon Barkley
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
“I wouldn't go into the season without Sam Donald because that's a known commodity, especially within this system.”
No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards100Hit100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 1 difficulty = +8.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.