Chris Simms· Oct 1, 2026
Simms picked Pittsburgh to win a close, low-scoring Thursday night game in Cleveland by a late field goal, 20-17, and expected Joey Porter Jr.'s market value to land in the low-to-mid $20 million range, with a possible franchise tag from Dallas after the season.
“I'm gonna take the Steelers in this one twenty to 17 late game win field goal like that.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 47.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Steelers at Browns 24 calls
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 1, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Browns 17
“I'm gonna take the Steelers in this one twenty to 17 late game win field goal like that.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 95.04-82.43 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- −82.43
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 95.04
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.92
- predicted margin:
- 3
Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys
“I mean, maybe they franchise them after the year. I wouldn't be shocked.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 183
- player:
- Joey Porter Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- DAL
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → DAL (from PIT)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Trade and Signing CallsJoey PorterOct 1, 2026
Joey Porter to move — “contract claim: "somewhere in the low to mid twenties as far as what his worth is as a corner"”
“I think he's valued himself at 30 plus million a year. I don't think anybody in the league thinks he's worth that... I would expect him to get somewhere in the low to mid twenties as far as what his worth is as a as a corner.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jeff CavanaughRoster Spot Calls · Hunter LuepkeHit · 100Jeff projected the Cowboys' offensive 53-man roster: nine offensive linemen (with Bass, Shelton, Leverett and Cornelius as the depth pieces and Nate Thomas and Keegan cut), three tight ends, Javonte Williams and Malik Davis atop the backfield, and five receivers with Mingo in and Camden Brown headed to the practice squad. He also gave reception and passing projections and said Jayshawn Barham will be starting before long.
- Jeff CavanaughRoster Spot Calls · Jonathan BullardHit · 100Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Wright called the Chiefs the NFL's best team and predicted they'd control the Raiders on the road en route to the 12-5 season he had forecast, while also picking the Steelers, Bills and Vikings in Week 4. He expects Tyreek Hill to return to Kansas City, with his Arrowhead return coming Nov. 8 against the Jets, and sees Josh Simmons missing Week 4 but back by the Seahawks game.
- Ty SchmitGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Schmidt picked the Steelers to beat the Browns, arguing teams missing multiple offensive line starters play badly against fronts like Pittsburgh's, and he also said he doesn't believe Jerry Jones will pay Joey Porter Jr. right away in Dallas.
- Chuck PaganoGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Pagano picked the Steelers to win Thursday night in Cleveland, citing Pittsburgh's pass rush against a patched-together Browns offensive line and expecting a low-scoring rivalry game.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Hawk said his instincts were on Pittsburgh from the start and he stuck with the Steelers to win in Cleveland on Thursday night.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · Jaylon JohnsonMiss · 0Moraitis predicts that if Jaylon Johnson's poor play continues, the Bears will release him next offseason given the contract out they hold.
- Zachary PerelesTrade and Signing Calls · Kader KohouMiss · 0After Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson landed on IR, Pereles argues Carolina must add cornerback help and lists five specific players the Panthers could sign or trade for: Trevon Diggs, Shaun Wade, Tre'Davious White, Kader Kohou and Darrell Luter Jr.
- Fox SportsTrade and Signing Calls · Austin EkelerMiss · 0The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined.
- Steve KubitzaTrade and Signing Calls · Za'Darius SmithHit · 100Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns.
- Mary Kay CabotTrade and Signing Calls · Za'Darius SmithMiss · 0Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · Austin EkelerMiss · 0Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP.