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17 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →99.1% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 9 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
226–250 of 1,028
567 / 1,028
graded
461 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 82.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 8 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.6 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 12 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 8.3 accuracy (2 settled)
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (the east Yar at one sixteen)
Ericson, you've got it at seventy three... He is basically free. You can get him as your RB three, RB four, and I think that he has RB one upside.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (consensus is seven overall)
ericson all the way at nineteen... So for those reasons, I'm just not gonna be drafting Christian McAffrey this year.
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (ECRs in between you guys at sixty five)
Ericsson's at sixty... So I think tune is so clear the upside play for this Jaguars offense, and I'm just not gonna let a player like Chris Rodriguez... I get feels of Chase Brown to base all two in year two
Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (ECRs at twenty seven overall)
So you're at twenty one ECRs at twenty seven overall... then Rice could absolutely smash... it's a top five guy that you can get outside... the top twelve wide receivers.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (drafted as the RB twelve, RB thirteen)
Andrew you're at forty five... you could get left holding the bag a little bit with Kieron Williams versus what is his actual ceiling... well then I don't necessarily want to buy that. Where he's been drafted.
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ECR of eighty five)
ericson you're nowhere near it at one oh six... so those are for the reasons why I'm concerned about Brian Thomas Junior.
Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (ECRI a forty eight)
I love Jail Waddle this year... So Jamalen Wada for me going as a wide receiver towo. I think he's got wide receiver one upside.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (ecs in between at one thirty)
Erics has got him at one fifty four... I think Mark Andrews is just cooked at this point, to be honest... I think Mark Andrews is out of juice.
Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (he's fifty on the button that ECR)
Ericson, you're way under consensus here at seventy... So for those reasons, I just think that he's being over valid.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the consensus has Chase Brown at seventeen)
I'm the high man on Chase Brown... I think that he's going to see a bellcow type of usage in a Joe Burrow led offense... I think the Bengals have all the incentive in the world to run Chase Brown into the ground
Rashee Rice to be 1st on the depth chart
So I still believe that he is the best receiver on the Chiefs, even if Worthy takes a step forward.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
I think Brooks is gonna break out. I think it's gonna be the lead running back. I don't care. I'm all in on Jonathan Brooks this year.
Quinshon Judkins to be 1st on the depth chart
So I think Judkins is gonna own most of the backfield, if not the entirety of the red zone touches.
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
Tony Pollard, I think is gonna get all the freaking touches... One guy is gonna get the freaking rock a crap ton and I think that's gonna be Tony Pollard.
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (outside the top thirty running backs)
Of the three names you mentioned, there was only one of them that was in my must have targets and his name is Jonathan Brooks... He's just a late run running back with a ton of upside that I think when push comes to shove, you're just gonna want to make sure you get them on your team.
Ladd McConkey to be 1st on the depth chart
So I want the Chargers, and I think Lad's gonna be the No. Number one wide receiver here.
Jared Goff to finish top 19 at his position, by fantasy points
GoF is my wife my quarterback nineteen and I think Jared Goff is terrific.
Quinshon Judkins to be 1st on the depth chart
I do agree with the Bell Cowie projections that Jake and Fantasy Pros both have... if he's able to stay healthy, he should get plenty of touches.
Colston Loveland to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
as far as we're Loveland ran in based on ECR the projections, my rankings tight end three across the board
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (forty one overall tight end number three)
it's exciting to think about what Lovelan's numbers could look like if he outkicks those expectations. And I think he could
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (twenty seven overall wide receiver twelve)
are the projections factoring in Rashid Rice's terrible personal judgment?... I just don't feel the projections are baking in the injury risk and the poor judgment risk here
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (seventy eight overall on the ECR ... QB ten)
I'm not feeling all that great about Dart taking a big leap forward in year two with Matt Nagy as the Giants offensive coordinator.
Jaxson Dart to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points
I'm QB thirteen, okay, CR two. So yeah, these projections are definitely you know, Rosie.
Jameson Williams to finish top 22 at his position, by fantasy points
I'm kind of on the side of the projections and that's sort of where I am as far as my rankings.
Quinshon Judkins to be 1st on the depth chart
all that being said is I have him Bell Cali... run heavy belcow heavy for his lead option even with Samson involved