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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
1–25 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Kyle Hamilton to stay with Baltimore Ravens
he's got the right coach for the rest of his career, and he won't go anywhere and neither will Minter.
Buffalo Bills to beat patriots
because the bills are definitely the proverbial offensive wagon... I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
New England Patriots to pick “picking in the top five next year” (picks 1–5)
Drake Bay was a one year wonder, and the Pats are gonna be picking in the top five next year.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
And in terms of winning the division and and making the playoffs, and that they're the NFC North favorites there, it's tough to argue that
New York Jets to beat patriots
and the Jets are definitely a better team... I don't see a win there until week eight.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat patriots
And after that, you know, in comes Vegas... I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins
I mean, that looks like twelve and five minimum. I mean, so I can't push back on this one.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
And this is absolutely a playoff team... This is a team that's absolutely making the playoffs and not winning the division.
Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs
Deshaun Watson's gonna lead the Browns to the playoffs and get a new contract to stay with the Browns.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
The Vikings. Man, their defense is so good. It doesn't matter who plays quarterback, and they're the NFC North favorites.
Brock Purdy to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
I think Brock Purdy has stolen his spot. Brock Purdy is a top five quarterback playing like a top two quarterback.
Chicago Bears to beat patriots
With a, Thursday night visit to Chicago in week seven. Yeah. I mean, I don't see a win there until week eight.
Deshaun Watson to move to Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson's gonna lead the Browns to the playoffs and get a new contract to stay with the Browns... He will be their quarterback in 2027.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
I did choose them to win the AFC North.
Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers
Not gonna happen. Jim loves this guy more than life itself. It ain't gonna happen
Tyson Bagent to be 1st on the depth chart
now you're gonna be taking on a Chicago Bears team on a Monday night where, they're gonna be starting Tyson Pageant. I would assume.
Marcus Mariota to be 1st on the depth chart
Seattle's next game is at Washington where it very well could be Marcus Mariota... It's going to be.
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
Deshaun Watson has proven he deserves to be the brown starter this week and beyond.
their first game at Seattle, which is a massive week five game. And we assume Sam Donald is going to be back for all of that.
the the the niners were top my power rankings, after, two weeks... You have him third? ... So still top Bills are top of my power rankings, and you got Seattle just out of respect.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
I'm gonna hang my hat on that one, man, because I just look at how talented they are and cannot believe that team does not put enough wins together to make the playoffs.
New York Giants to win the division
The first part, I don't think is an overreaction. The best team in the NFC East is entirely possible.
Josh Allen to win MVP
I did also say prior to the season, Josh Allen was gonna be the MVP
Trevor Lawrence to win Top three in MVP voting
The top three in MVP voting this year will be Trevor Lawrence, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson in some order.
Lamar Jackson to win Top three in MVP voting
The top three in MVP voting this year will be Trevor Lawrence, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson in some order.