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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
1–25 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
that Wednesday night before Thanksgiving game, Green Bay at the Rams... Micah will be back for that too... Green Bay is gonna get Micah back.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers
the Steelers at six and two, they're going to Cincinnati... for week 10 coming off of their buy... I would give this... The Bengals the edge there.
San Francisco 49ers to beat Dallas cowboys
San Francisco's next game is against Gotti. You don't think they're gonna go in and slap Gotti around? ... They're taking on the Dallas cowboys
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 13–14 wins
I think they're gonna win 13, 14 games. Be a one seed.
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 13 wins
they could wind up being a 13 win team themselves
Derrick Henry to stay with Baltimore Ravens
Get Derrick Henry? Derrick Henry's going nowhere, pal.
Khalil Mack to move — “should be on a different team by middle of the week”
Khalil Mack should be on a different team by middle of the week. That's for sure.
Chicago Bears to beat Saints
They go on a buy now, the Bears. After which, they welcome in the Saints... They will sweep the NFC South at that point
C.J. Stroud: “the highest paid quarterback in the NFL this season, even if he doesn't get them to the playoffs”
He's gonna be the highest paid quarterback in the NFL this season. He's gonna be even if he doesn't get him to the playoffs, Chris.
San Francisco 49ers to take the top seed
Thirteen thirteen wins gets to one seed in the NFC? I think so... Well, I know it'll be San Francisco.
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
Miles Garrett's gonna win defensive player of the year... He's on a pace to shatter his own record.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Jonathan Taylor to move — “gone this week (traded by the Colts)”
Why are we holding on to Jonathan Taylor? ... I would expect him to be be gone this week.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
I chose the Bengals to win the division.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets
Now they've got the Jets. That's a w.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
And at the end of the day, I think they still win the division, and someone's gonna have to go into Arrowhead.
Detroit Lions to beat Miami
The lines next visit Miami, which is Dan Campbell's old haunting spot. You can make that a green rectangle on our screen here.
Carson Beck to be 1st on the depth chart
And at some point, you... You'd have to imagine Carson Beck gets a shot before the end of the year.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
Bills, Broncos, Steelers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Bengals, Patriots. Those are the seven.
Denver Broncos to beat Carolina
Unless Carolina could beat Denver. / That would surprise me.