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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.42% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
426–450 of 2,304
22 / 2,304
graded
2,282 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (the end of your drafts)
You're probably better off drafting Xavier Worthy at the end of your drafts, and leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 58.2)
Davante Adams is simply getting drafted entirely too early based on touchdowns recorded last season.
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 23.4)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It's very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production with all that's surrounding the starting quarterback.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 37.3)
You're probably better off drafting Xavier Worthy at the end of your drafts, and leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
it's only a matter of time before Michael Penix Jr. is under center
Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta Falcons
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (outside of the first round)
Personally, I'm still rolling the dice on Jeanty, who has overall RB1 upside as the bell-cow back behind an improved Raiders offensive line.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
I prefer taking Chris Olave over him, but that doesn't mean this isn't a good pick.
the question is whether or not you should take him over Jonathan Taylor or Christian McCaffrey. I'd say yes, since Cook is in a better offense than Taylor and less of an injury risk than McCaffrey.
Bucky Irving to be 1st on the depth chart
Gainwell will be the 1B to Bucky Irving's 1A.
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
If Herbert produces on the ground similarly to last season, he's headed for another top-five fantasy finish.
Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
Saquon Barkley to record 1,140 rushing yards
with Philadelphia's soft schedule, Barkley should easily top last year's 1,140 yards and seven scores on the ground
Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles
Saquon Barkley to record 7 rushing tds
Barkley should easily top last year's 1,140 yards and seven scores on the ground
Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (near the round one/round two turn)
He's an easy click near the round one/round two turn if you still have drafts.
Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles
Kenny Gainwell to be 2nd on the depth chart
Gainwell will be the 1B to Bucky Irving's 1A. He'll mix in as a change-of-pace option
Kenny GainwellTampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameson Williams to outplay his draft cost (round six)
And you can sometimes get him in round six?
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 consensus tight end)
But I'm afraid his decline will continue after he has failed to command the same type of volume over the last two seasons... Just say no.
Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (fringe TE1)
Ferguson is facing a major uphill battle to rise above TD-or-bust TE territory. He's being overvalued as a fringe TE1
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))
Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
Tony Pollard isn't anything special and plays behind a pitiful offensive line, but he's the starter and should get the majority of the carries.
De'Zhaun Stribling to be 2nd on the depth chart
Stribling has been getting nothing but high praise out of training camp and will be the 49ers' No. 2 WR opposite Mike Evans.
De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers
Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart
There is some congestion in the Jaguars' wide receiver room, but Parker Washington is emerging as one of Trevor Lawrence's top options in Jacksonville.
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Luther Burden III to be 1st on the depth chart
Malik Nabers, Luther Burden III and Parker Washington are projected to be the No. 1 WRs on their respective teams
Malik Nabers to be 1st on the depth chart
Malik Nabers, Luther Burden III and Parker Washington are projected to be the No. 1 WRs on their respective teams
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (his current ADP)
Most would agree that Corum has standalone value behind Kyren Williams. At his current ADP, he already provides great value as the backup.
Cyrus Allen to outplay his draft cost (his ADP price tag)
It's hard not to buy a ticket at his ADP price tag. He's basically free and has been earning first-team reps while capitalizing on the opportunity.