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One writer with a graded record here.
Their own site →Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–5 of 5
5 / 5
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0 still pending
Arizona is the one state that seems like the safest bet for Trump
and a seventy one point four percent probability of winning the popular vote
Kamala Harris has a forty five point three percent chance of winning the electoral college... It's basically fifty five forty five Trump or fifty four forty five with a small chance of a tie.
The Silver Bullets and forecast as of this morning has Harris with a fifty three percent chance and Trump at forty seven percent.
The latest Silver Bulletin forecast is Trump with a fifty three percent chance of winning the electoral college, Harris forty seven percent.