Colin Cowherd

Colin Cowherd is an American sports media personality who began his broadcasting career as a sports director at Las Vegas television station KVBC before moving through several other stations and joining ESPN in 2003. At ESPN, he hosted a radio show on the ESPN Radio network and became one of the original hosts of SportsNation, as well as Colin's New Football Show. He currently hosts The Herd with Colin Cowherd on Fox Sports Radio and Fox Sports 1. Cowherd covers the NFL with particular attention to franchises like the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, and Philadelphia Eagles. His predictions range from individual game outcomes to playoff berths, draft positioning, and season win totals — the full spectrum of NFL forecasting.

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Colin Cowherd, including the ones still waiting →

Is Colin Cowherd accurate? Across 465 graded calls in 75 articles, Colin Cowherd scores 55.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 10.8, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

55.97%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

10.8

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

465

Graded calls

across 75 articles. 417 more not yet settled.

96.44% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 465

10 of 82 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 14.

Cowherd delivered a mock draft of the first 15 picks based on what he says he's hearing from league sources, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and running through Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to Tampa Bay at No. 15.15 graded calls · Apr 9, 2026
- Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
  “Number ten, Caleb Downs, Ohio State ... Caleb Downs stays in state. He goes to the Bengals at ten”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Caleb Downs
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  11
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “Number one. Okay, that's the easy one. I'm going to go one for one. Fernando Mendoza ... the most obvious pick outside of Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders”
  Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
  “number five. I think the Giants get that. Maybe the cleanest player in the draft, sunny styles ... Giants take Sunny Styles”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.57 against a shuffle’s 50+43.57 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.57
  player:
  Sonny Styles
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  91.7
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  7
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  91.7
  predicted pick:
  5
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.57
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
  “Number two, I think the Jet take a big swing on Rvel Reese, who's one of the youngest prospects in the draft.”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Arvell Reese
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  87.81
  predicted pick:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
  “If they get Bailey number four, then I think the Titans will take Jeremiah Love ... He goes four to the Tennessee Titans”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Jeremiyah Love
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  3
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  4
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
  “Number eight. Another Miami Hurricane goes eight, Ruben Bain. Listen, you could say the Saints have a lot of needs, but this kid lives in the backfield.”
  Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Rueben Bain
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  73.84
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  15
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  73.84
  predicted pick:
  8
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 15
  “Number fifty Buccaneers draft well safety from Toledo, Emmanuel McNeil. Warren, local kid played in Tampa.”
  Miss · 16Scored 15.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  15.52
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  58
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  15.52
  predicted pick:
  15
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11
  “number eleven, Well, defensive head coach, they need a lot but mansour Delaye the LSU corner ... I think Miami goes for a lockdown guy”
  Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Mansoor Delane
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  80.52
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  6
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  80.52
  predicted pick:
  11
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9
  “Number nine. See this seems obvious. Spencer Fino to tackle from Utah to Kansas City ... I think he goes nine to Kansas City Spencer Fane.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Spencer Fano
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  9
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  9
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 7
  “number seven. Well, Jaden Daniels needs protection. Laramie Tonzel meet Francis Mawiinoah Miami ... He goes seven to the Commanders.”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Francis Mauigoa
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  10
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  87.81
  predicted pick:
  7
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
  “number six. The best receiver in this draft is Carneal Tate and Cleveland's got an egregiously bad wide receiving corps”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Carnell Tate
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  91.7
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  4
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  91.7
  predicted pick:
  6
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12
  “Number twelve. I think the Cowboys ... They get Jermad McCoy from Tennessee.”
  Miss · 2Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Jermod McCoy
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  2.12
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  101
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  2.12
  predicted pick:
  12
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
  “Number thirty McKay lemon wide receiver USC ... McKay lemon walks in day one. He'll figure the playbook out in three practices.”
  Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Makai Lemon
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  73.84
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  20
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  73.84
  predicted pick:
  13
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
- David Bailey to be picked at number 3
  “Number three. So Arizona, seeing that Bailey is now available David Bailey Texas Tech, they will then draft David Bailey because they have a pass rush issue.”
  Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.57 against a shuffle’s 50+43.57 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.57
  player:
  David Bailey
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  95.76
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  2
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  95.76
  predicted pick:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.57
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 14
  “Number fourteen ravens Lamar Jackson last year pressured on twenty six percent of his throw career high. They go get Monroe Freeling, Georgia. Tackle”
  Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  43.13
  player:
  Monroe Freeling
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  80.52
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  19
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  80.52
  predicted pick:
  14
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  93.13
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.3 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026
- New York Giants to win the division
  “I have The New York giants winning the, Division philadelphia, Second washington, third And dallas fourth as of. NOW”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -100
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  NYG
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Ty Simpson to be picked “late in first round” (picks 1–32)
  “So my take is I could see the Rams late in first round saying listen, Stafford signs a two year deal. This kid's not ready to play.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Ty Simpson
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  13
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  late in first round (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Dallas Cowboys to finish with 6–7 wins
  “I don't think they'll be. AWFUL i think they'll be a six or seven win, team”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+15 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DAL
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  15
  what happened:
  7
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  85
  predicted:
  6–7 wins (6–7 wins)
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd says Fernando Mendoza is the best quarterback in the class and will be selected first overall.Feb 26, 2026
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “Obviously Mendoza is the best quarterback in this class, and he's also going to go number one.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd predicted Matthew Stafford will sign another two-year deal, guessed the Vikings will acquire Mac Jones, said he'd name Shedeur Sanders the Browns' starter, and forecast the Jets and Browns will be bad in 2026.Feb 26, 2026
- Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
  “COLORADO i would give him the starting job BECAUSE i think you want a quarterback in a year”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  CLE
  skill:
  8.33
  player:
  Shedeur Sanders
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  measured by:
  passing yards
  the naive guess:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd unveiled his top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.2 graded calls · Feb 11, 2026
- Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
  “I have the Chargers winning the division next year. Denver second Kansas City third today”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  LAC
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I'm gonna do a top ten after the coaching hires, after free agency, and after the draft... here we go number ten. I think the Chiefs... Number nine would be Buffalo... number eight the Patriots... Number seven I would say the Detroit Lions... Number six... the Jaguars... I think the Chargers are going to feel like a Super Bowl team in September... I'd put the Bears at four... Number three the Denver Broncos... Number two... the Rams... Number One Seattle”
  Close · 75Scored 75.15a naive guess scored 18.79+56.36 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  56.36
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  75.15
  baseline:
  18.79
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  10
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring Super Bowl, 24-20, citing Seattle's league-leading run defense and Drake Maye's poor record when throwing 35-plus passes. He also projects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick, going to the Raiders.3 graded calls · Feb 7, 2026
- Seattle Seahawks 24 — Patriots 20
  “I think it's low scoring... twenty four to twenty Seattle”
  Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 16.73+54.7 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  29-13
  skill:
  54.7
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  71.43
  baseline:
  16.73
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  16
  weeks left when called:
  0
  naive home margin:
  2.03
  predicted margin:
  4
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
  “So here is my Super Bowl pick, Seahawks versus Patriots... I'm going to take the Seahawks to win close.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  100
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “Listen, you're gonna go to the Raiders. We can project that. I'm projecting you're going to go number one.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") picks Seattle to beat New England 31-20 and cover the spread, with running back "K nine" taking Super Bowl MVP.3 graded calls · Feb 3, 2026
- Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
  “I got Seattle winning this game. I got them covering the spread”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  100
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kenneth Walker III to win Super Bowl MVP
  “I got K nine running away with the MVP of this game”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Kenneth Walker III
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Matthew Stafford
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 20
  “I'm gonna go thirty one to twenty final score”
  Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 16.73+71.36 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  29-13
  skill:
  71.36
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  88.1
  baseline:
  16.73
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  16
  weeks left when called:
  0
  naive home margin:
  2.03
  predicted margin:
  11
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd argues Sam Darnold belongs in the top ten of quarterbacks and predicts he'll win the Super Bowl with Seattle; he also expects Jim Harbaugh's Giants to make the playoffs next year, the Raiders to take Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 pick, and says Bill Belichick will eventually make the Hall of Fame.5 graded calls · Jan 29, 2026
- Las Vegas Raiders to pick at number 1
  “They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 80.52+19.48 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LV
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  they picked 6 the year before
  skill:
  19.48
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  80.52
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
  “Seems like to me, hoisting a trophy in about ten twelve days. Have to reconsider where we put him.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  100
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Sam Darnold to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
  “But I don't think it's crazy to say that Sam Darnold hoists a trophy. You gotta put him in the top ten.”
  Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 100-41.67 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -41.67
  player:
  Sam Darnold
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  58.33
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  QB
  ranked by:
  passing yards
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  5
  actual finish:
  5
  weeks left when called:
  0
  predicted finish:
  10
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New York Giants to make the playoffs
  “I think Harbaugh's going to crush it with the Giants. They're going to be a playoff team next year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NYG
  skill:
  -100
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd ranked the top players in the NFC Championship Game between the Rams and Seahawks, with Puka Nacua first and Matt Stafford second, named Stafford his MVP, picked the Rams to win the game because they play cleaner football, and said Mike Vrabel should win Coach of the Year with Ben Johnson second.3 graded calls · Jan 23, 2026
- Matthew Stafford to win MVP
  “but he led the NFL in passing yards. He is my MVP.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
  skill:
  100
  player:
  Matthew Stafford
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Matthew Stafford
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks
  “I think the cleanest team, and Rams play a cleaner version than Seattle... That's why I like the Rams win this game.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  SEA
  score:
  27-31
  skill:
  -100
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  SEA
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Mike Vrabel to win NFL Coach of the Year
  “I would Ben Johnson would be my two. Vrabel one Ben two.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  coach_of_the_year
  coach:
  Mike Vrabel
  naive:
  the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
  skill:
  100
  season:
  2025
  winner:
  Mike Vrabel
  correct:
  yes
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
Cowherd ranked the ten best players in the AFC Championship game between the Patriots and Broncos, with Patrick Surtain first, and argued New England's quarterback edge (Drake Maye over Jarrett Stidham) will decide the game. He also said he'd bet the Rams plus points against Seattle and predicted the Rams will pick near the bottom of the first round for the next decade.2 graded calls · Jan 22, 2026
- Los Angeles Rams to pick “at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years” (picks 1–32)
  “they're going to be at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 54.53+45.47 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAR
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  they picked 46 the year before
  skill:
  45.47
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  54.53
  actual pick:
  13
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted pick:
  at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years (picks 1–32)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to beat Broncos
  “bought New England at the most important position, has a sizeable advantage. Drake May over Jarrett Stidham, and I think that's the difference in the game.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  NE
  score:
  10-7
  skill:
  100
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  DEN
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?

Colin Cowherd

Graded calls · 465

10 of 82 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 14.

Cowherd delivered a mock draft of the first 15 picks based on what he says he's hearing from league sources, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and running through Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to Tampa Bay at No. 15.15 graded calls · Apr 9, 2026

Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“Number ten, Caleb Downs, Ohio State ... Caleb Downs stays in state. He goes to the Bengals at ten”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Number one. Okay, that's the easy one. I'm going to go one for one. Fernando Mendoza ... the most obvious pick outside of Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
“number five. I think the Giants get that. Maybe the cleanest player in the draft, sunny styles ... Giants take Sunny Styles”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.57 against a shuffle’s 50+43.57 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.57
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.57
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Number two, I think the Jet take a big swing on Rvel Reese, who's one of the youngest prospects in the draft.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“If they get Bailey number four, then I think the Titans will take Jeremiah Love ... He goes four to the Tennessee Titans”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
“Number eight. Another Miami Hurricane goes eight, Ruben Bain. Listen, you could say the Saints have a lot of needs, but this kid lives in the backfield.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 15
“Number fifty Buccaneers draft well safety from Toledo, Emmanuel McNeil. Warren, local kid played in Tampa.”
Miss · 16Scored 15.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
15.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
15.52
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11
“number eleven, Well, defensive head coach, they need a lot but mansour Delaye the LSU corner ... I think Miami goes for a lockdown guy”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9
“Number nine. See this seems obvious. Spencer Fino to tackle from Utah to Kansas City ... I think he goes nine to Kansas City Spencer Fane.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 7
“number seven. Well, Jaden Daniels needs protection. Laramie Tonzel meet Francis Mawiinoah Miami ... He goes seven to the Commanders.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“number six. The best receiver in this draft is Carneal Tate and Cleveland's got an egregiously bad wide receiving corps”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12
“Number twelve. I think the Cowboys ... They get Jermad McCoy from Tennessee.”
Miss · 2Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Jermod McCoy
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
2.12
baseline:
50
actual pick:
101
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
2.12
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
“Number thirty McKay lemon wide receiver USC ... McKay lemon walks in day one. He'll figure the playbook out in three practices.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 3
“Number three. So Arizona, seeing that Bailey is now available David Bailey Texas Tech, they will then draft David Bailey because they have a pass rush issue.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.57 against a shuffle’s 50+43.57 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.57
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.57
Think this grade is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 14
“Number fourteen ravens Lamar Jackson last year pressured on twenty six percent of his throw career high. They go get Monroe Freeling, Georgia. Tackle”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.13 against a shuffle’s 50+43.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
43.13
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
93.13
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.3 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026

New York Giants to win the division
“I have The New York giants winning the, Division philadelphia, Second washington, third And dallas fourth as of. NOW”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-100
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
NYG
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked “late in first round” (picks 1–32)
“So my take is I could see the Rams late in first round saying listen, Stafford signs a two year deal. This kid's not ready to play.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
late in first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 6–7 wins
“I don't think they'll be. AWFUL i think they'll be a six or seven win, team”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+15 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
naive:
7.75
skill:
15
what happened:
7
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
predicted:
6–7 wins (6–7 wins)
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd says Fernando Mendoza is the best quarterback in the class and will be selected first overall.Feb 26, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Obviously Mendoza is the best quarterback in this class, and he's also going to go number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd predicted Matthew Stafford will sign another two-year deal, guessed the Vikings will acquire Mac Jones, said he'd name Shedeur Sanders the Browns' starter, and forecast the Jets and Browns will be bad in 2026.Feb 26, 2026

Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“COLORADO i would give him the starting job BECAUSE i think you want a quarterback in a year”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
8.33
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd unveiled his top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.2 graded calls · Feb 11, 2026

Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
“I have the Chargers winning the division next year. Denver second Kansas City third today”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
“I'm gonna do a top ten after the coaching hires, after free agency, and after the draft... here we go number ten. I think the Chiefs... Number nine would be Buffalo... number eight the Patriots... Number seven I would say the Detroit Lions... Number six... the Jaguars... I think the Chargers are going to feel like a Super Bowl team in September... I'd put the Bears at four... Number three the Denver Broncos... Number two... the Rams... Number One Seattle”
Close · 75Scored 75.15a naive guess scored 18.79+56.36 skill
How this was scored
skill:
56.36
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
75.15
baseline:
18.79
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
10
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring Super Bowl, 24-20, citing Seattle's league-leading run defense and Drake Maye's poor record when throwing 35-plus passes. He also projects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick, going to the Raiders.3 graded calls · Feb 7, 2026

Seattle Seahawks 24 — Patriots 20
“I think it's low scoring... twenty four to twenty Seattle”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 16.73+54.7 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
54.7
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
71.43
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“So here is my Super Bowl pick, Seahawks versus Patriots... I'm going to take the Seahawks to win close.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Listen, you're gonna go to the Raiders. We can project that. I'm projecting you're going to go number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") picks Seattle to beat New England 31-20 and cover the spread, with running back "K nine" taking Super Bowl MVP.3 graded calls · Feb 3, 2026

Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“I got Seattle winning this game. I got them covering the spread”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenneth Walker III to win Super Bowl MVP
“I got K nine running away with the MVP of this game”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Kenneth Walker III
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 20
“I'm gonna go thirty one to twenty final score”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 16.73+71.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
71.36
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
11
Think this grade is wrong?

Cowherd argues Sam Darnold belongs in the top ten of quarterbacks and predicts he'll win the Super Bowl with Seattle; he also expects Jim Harbaugh's Giants to make the playoffs next year, the Raiders to take Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 pick, and says Bill Belichick will eventually make the Hall of Fame.5 graded calls · Jan 29, 2026

Las Vegas Raiders to pick at number 1
“They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 80.52+19.48 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 6 the year before
skill:
19.48
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
80.52
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
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Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“Seems like to me, hoisting a trophy in about ten twelve days. Have to reconsider where we put him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
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Sam Darnold to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
“But I don't think it's crazy to say that Sam Darnold hoists a trophy. You gotta put him in the top ten.”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 100-41.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-41.67
player:
Sam Darnold
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
58.33
baseline:
100
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
5
actual finish:
5
weeks left when called:
0
predicted finish:
10
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New York Giants to make the playoffs
“I think Harbaugh's going to crush it with the Giants. They're going to be a playoff team next year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
skill:
-100
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
0
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Cowherd ranked the top players in the NFC Championship Game between the Rams and Seahawks, with Puka Nacua first and Matt Stafford second, named Stafford his MVP, picked the Rams to win the game because they play cleaner football, and said Mike Vrabel should win Coach of the Year with Ben Johnson second.3 graded calls · Jan 23, 2026

Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“but he led the NFL in passing yards. He is my MVP.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Matthew Stafford
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Los Angeles Rams to beat Seahawks
“I think the cleanest team, and Rams play a cleaner version than Seattle... That's why I like the Rams win this game.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
-100
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Mike Vrabel to win NFL Coach of the Year
“I would Ben Johnson would be my two. Vrabel one Ben two.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Mike Vrabel
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
100
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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Cowherd ranked the ten best players in the AFC Championship game between the Patriots and Broncos, with Patrick Surtain first, and argued New England's quarterback edge (Drake Maye over Jarrett Stidham) will decide the game. He also said he'd bet the Rams plus points against Seattle and predicted the Rams will pick near the bottom of the first round for the next decade.2 graded calls · Jan 22, 2026

Los Angeles Rams to pick “at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years” (picks 1–32)
“they're going to be at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 54.53+45.47 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 46 the year before
skill:
45.47
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
54.53
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
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New England Patriots to beat Broncos
“bought New England at the most important position, has a sizeable advantage. Drake May over Jarrett Stidham, and I think that's the difference in the game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
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