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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 12, 2026

Cowherd argues the Bears' 9.5-win total is the offseason's easiest bet, pointing to their additions, Caleb Williams' second-year improvement and a soft schedule that includes beating the Dolphins and Jets.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
They by the way, they play the NFC South and the AFC East, so you know they're beating the Dolphins in the Jets.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Bam Adebayo’s 83 Point Game, LeBron + Luka Doesn’t Work, Bears Win Total, Best American Actor?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 11
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5
  1. 1Chicago Bears to beat Jets“they play the NFC South and the AFC East, so you know they're beating the Dolphins in the Jets”
  2. 2Chicago Bears to beat Dolphins“they play the NFC South and the AFC East, so you know they're beating the Dolphins in the Jets”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to beat Jets1Game Outcome PicksBears 23–121001000
Chicago Bears to beat Dolphins2Game Outcome Picks————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Jets

    What happenedBears 23–12Jets at Bears
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    12-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Dolphins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.