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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 25, 2026

Outside of their spread picks, Rosenthal referenced their season-long pick of the Texans to win the Super Bowl and said they expect Houston to beat the Colts on Sunday.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The next time you see Nick Shook and I, he will be recapping that big Texans win against the Colts.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
2026 Week 3 Picks with Nick Shook
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 25
  2. PlayedSep 27
  3. GradedSep 28
  1. 1Houston Texans to beat Colts“The next time you see Nick Shook and I, he will be recapping that big Texans win against the Colts. I'm sorry, Colts.”
  2. 2Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl“Between my Texans Super Bowl pick and my son rooting for the Texans, it's mostly my son.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans to beat Colts1Game Outcome PicksColts 19–170100−189
Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl Picks————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Colts

    What happenedColts 19–17Texans at Colts
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Texans by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 53%, Colts 47%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    IND
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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