Gregg Rosenthal· May 4, 2026
Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
“my two favorite of the entire exercise so far is Over buccaneers eight and a. HALF”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 6 season win totals, 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 2.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 5.
Where this call stands in the room
Shedeur Sanders · 2026 season22 calls from 19 pundits between 1 and 2. Gregg Rosenthal said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksBrandon DoughtyMay 4, 2026
Brandon Doughty to be picked “a third or fourth round, pick” (picks 64–139)
“I think he might be like a third or fourth round, pick”
Miss · 3Scored 2.63a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2016
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Brandon Doughty
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.63
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 223
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.63
- predicted pick:
- a third or fourth round, pick (picks 64–139)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Division WinnersTampa Bay BuccaneersMay 4, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“so at eight and a, HALF i think they're the class of this. DEVICE”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosMay 4, 2026
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
“I probably would take the suckers, bet which would be Over denver nine and a. HALF”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsSan Francisco 49ersMay 4, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10.5 wins
“i'll Take i'll take the defending, champions maybe most complete roster in THE nfl at ten and a half and take the over”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think he'll start the majority of. Them so, yeah i'd say like ten or eleven”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersMay 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8.5 wins
“IF i had to choose, ONE i would go over on The steelers right, now”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsArizona CardinalsMay 4, 2026
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 4.5 wins
“I would probably take The cardinals over at four and a half”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsMinnesota VikingsMay 4, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins
“riding With kyler and going Over vikings eight and a. Half”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsTampa Bay BuccaneersMay 4, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 8.5 wins
“Over buccaneers eight and a. HALF i just think THEY'RE i just think it's a good. Roster”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsHit · 90Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Marcus RayScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.
- Ryan LaVoyScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 17LaVoy predicted a 28-10 Buccaneers win over the Browns, said even the Falcons would beat Cleveland, and named Detroit, Baltimore and the Rams as teams he expects in the playoffs.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 20Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Los Angeles ChargersHit · 80Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.