Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · May 4, 2026
Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus they expect Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
my two favorite of the entire exercise so far is Over buccaneers eight and a. HALF
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- 2026 NFL Win Totals First Thoughts with Seth Payne
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMay 4
- GradedAug 18
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mock Draft Picks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Division Winners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 6 season win totals, 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 2.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 5.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Shedeur Sanders · 2026 season20 calls from 16 pundits between 1 and 2. Gregg Rosenthal said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Mock Draft Picks1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Brandon Doughty to be picked “a third or fourth round, pick” (picks 64–139)
“I think he might be like a third or fourth round, pick”
Went 2232.63MissThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2016
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Brandon Doughty
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.63
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 223
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.63
- predicted pick:
- a third or fourth round, pick (picks 64–139)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Season Win Totals6 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins
“riding With kyler and going Over vikings eight and a. Half”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
“I probably would take the suckers, bet which would be Over denver nine and a. HALF”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 8.5 wins
“Over buccaneers eight and a. HALF i just think THEY'RE i just think it's a good. Roster”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8.5 wins
“IF i had to choose, ONE i would go over on The steelers right, now”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 4.5 wins
“I would probably take The cardinals over at four and a half”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10.5 wins
“i'll Take i'll take the defending, champions maybe most complete roster in THE nfl at ten and a half and take the over”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think he'll start the majority of. Them so, yeah i'd say like ten or eleven”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Division Winners1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“so at eight and a, HALF i think they're the class of this. DEVICE”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks.Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Kansas City Chiefs · Miss 0
Wright picked Chiefs over 11.5, Buccaneers over 9.5, Raiders over 6.5 (plus a Raiders playoff berth), Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Jaguars over 7.5, and Bengals under 9.5 with Zac Taylor fired after missing the playoffs. They also had Commanders and Eagles both 11-6 with Washington winning the NFC East.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Cincinnati Bengals · Hit 100
Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.