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Jake Arthur

Every take from Jake Arthur, including the ones still waiting →

Is Jake Arthur accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Jake Arthur scores 97.62% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 5.2, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

97.62%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

5.2

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.Sep 18, 2026
- Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Colts 23
  “But I'm gonna say it's, like, twenty seven twenty three Chiefs. I think it'll be relatively close... I see a close loss for the Colts.”
  Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 94.94+5.2 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  30-33
  skill:
  5.2
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  97.62
  baseline:
  94.94
  difficulty:
  1.94
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  3
  weeks left when called:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

naive home margin:

0.88

predicted margin:

Think this grade is wrong?