Loading…
Loading…
Writes at Locked On Colts (podcast)
Across 8 graded calls in 6 articles, Jake Arthur scores 68.65% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 25.84, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 15 calls · one square per call
4hits50% of graded
2Close25%
2misses25%
7
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
8 graded calls in 6 articles, newest first. Every take from Jake Arthur, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Jake Arthur isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Colts
“Dallas has so much more talent than the Colts do that it's nearly impossible for me to pick to to pick the Colts in this one.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (66%).
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Colts 24
“So I do have the Cowboys winning 31 to 24. ... Seven point loss, 31 to 24 to the Cowboys. That's what I'm thinking.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 7) and more points (55).
Johnathan Edwards to land on the practice squad
“Maybe Jonathan Edwards gets called up tomorrow from the practice squad.”
Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Colts 13
“I think I'm gonna go, like, 31 to 13 Jacksonville. It feels another two plus score game, another 30 points for Jackson.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10, total 45.5 · this 31–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 18) and fewer points (44).
Minnesota Vikings 23 — Colts 13
“So, I'm gonna give it to Minnesota. I'm thinking 23 to 13 feels right.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5, total 41.5 · this 23–13 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 10) and fewer points (36).
Indianapolis Colts 34 — Titans 16
“I have the Colts winning this one, and I do have them getting their first lopsided victory of the year, 34 to 16.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 34–16 calls a bigger Colts win (by 18) and more points (50).
Indianapolis Colts 20 — Commanders 13
“But I have the Colts winning 20 to 13.”
Closing line (Oct 4): Colts by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 20–13 calls a bigger Colts win (by 7) and fewer points (33).
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Colts 23
“But I'm gonna say it's, like, twenty seven twenty three Chiefs. I think it'll be relatively close... I see a close loss for the Colts.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Chiefs by 6, total 46.5 · this 27–23 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 4) and more points (50).