Jake Arthur· Oct 30, 2026
Arthur predicted a lopsided Jaguars win over the Colts in Jacksonville, 31-13, continuing the Colts' losing streak there, while offering a 'bold' counter-prediction that Daniel Jones accounts for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing).
“I think I'm gonna go, like, 31 to 13 Jacksonville.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Colts (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 1 availability call, 1 roster spot call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 29.8 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Colts at Jaguars 14 calls
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 30, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Colts 13
“I think I'm gonna go, like, 31 to 13 Jacksonville. It feels another two plus score game, another 30 points for Jackson.”
Close · 60Scored 59.52a naive guess scored 50+15.33 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 7-42
- skill:
- 15.33
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 59.52
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 35
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- naive home margin:
- 0.47
- predicted margin:
- 18
Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10, total 45.5 · this 31–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 18) and fewer points (44).
Johnathan Edwards to land on the practice squad
“Maybe Jonathan Edwards gets called up tomorrow from the practice squad.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- −161
- player:
- Johnathan Edwards
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he lands on the practice squad
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 7
“Betcher hasn't practiced in two weeks. He missed last week, so it feels unlikely that he plays.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Daniel Jones to record 2 passing tds
“He's gonna account for three touchdowns, two passing, one rushing. (bold prediction for Colts at Jaguars)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Daniel Jones to record 1 rushing tds
“He's gonna account for three touchdowns, two passing, one rushing. (bold prediction for Colts at Jaguars)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Anthony RichardsonHit · 100Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Indianapolis ColtsMiss · 0Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week.
- Jesse HolleyGame Outcome Picks · Indianapolis ColtsMiss · 0Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Indianapolis ColtsMiss · 0Parkins predicted the Cowboys will finish 11-6, starting 5-1 with wins over the Giants, Commanders and an upset of the Ravens, splitting with Philadelphia, and beating Green Bay and Jacksonville, while losing to the Texans, 49ers, Eagles, Colts, Seahawks and Rams.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Andrew EricksonPlayer Season Numbers · James CookClose · 67Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 92Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 100Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 84Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.