Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Megyn Kelly Show
Is Spencer Kimball accurate? Across 10 graded calls in 2 articles, Spencer Kimball scores 81.45% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 40.96, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“but I think Georgia is a pretty strong state for Trump... but it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time.”
“So to me, anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will take it because we're underrepresenting.”
“that's a number that, as you take a look at, it looks like Pennsylvania should go towards Trump, and that would suggest he would have some success on election night”
“Now the race is much tighter. It's about a half a point. I still think it leans towards Harris... but that's a state where I think the Democrats can still hold it.”
“It's probably leaning to Trump by about one to two points, but that's gonna be a lot to overcome considering the situation.”
“So to me, anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will will take it because we're underrepresenting.”
“it looks like Pennsylvania should go towards Trump, and that would suggest he would have some success on election night... that's why we see that, you know, Pennsylvania as a toss-up, slightly leaning towards Trump”
“Maybe it falls in between those two numbers, but it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time.”
“It's probably leaning to Trump by about one to two points, but that's gonna be a lot to overcome considering the situation.”
“Now the race is much tighter. It's about a half a point. I still think it leans towards Harris, but Trump has made up a lot of ground... that's a state where I think the Democrats can still hold it.”