2024 U.S. House election in California's district 45

House · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Derek Tran by 0.2 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · flipped · source: wikipedia-2024-house

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Derek Tran 0Michelle Steel 1· 1 pundits on record this week

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.

Lakshya Jain: Michelle Steel wins CA-45 House seat (2024) — “just a 51% chance of winning”
Race Winners · Oct 19, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in California's district 45 · the take
Miss · 0
Lakshya Jain: Derek Tran wins CA-45 House seat (2024) — “a 51% chance”
Race Winners · Oct 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in California's district 45 · the take
Hit · 100