2024 U.S. presidential election in California
Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Kamala Harris (Democratic)Won54 EV · 58.5% · 9,276,179
- Donald Trump (Republican)38.3% · 6,081,697
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent)1.3% · 197,645
- Jill Stein (Green)1.1% · 167,814
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 66,662
Kamala Harris by 20.1 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · source: fec-2024-president
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Kamala Harris3 picks · won
Every claim about this race (3)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Mariel Garza: Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in California · the take
Hit · 100Carl Cannon: Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024) — “carry her home state by 4,000,000 votes or more”
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in California · the take
Hit · 100Carl Cannon: Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in California · the take
Hit · 100