2026 U.S. House election in Nebraska's district 1
House · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Chris Backemeyer (Democratic)—
- Daniel Hartong (Other parties)—
- Mike Flood (Republican, incumbent)Won—
- Nik Sandman (Libertarian)—
Mike Flood by — in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: wikipedia-2026
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through October 20, 2026
- Mike Flood46.0%
- Chris Backemeyer45.0%
Mike Flood by 1.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 4 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (DEM) · for House Majority PAC | 2026-10-19 – 2026-10-20 | 536 LV | Mike Flood 46% · Chris Backemeyer 45% |
| Global Strategy Group (DEM) · for Fight for Nebraska | 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-03 | 600 LV | Chris Backemeyer 49% · Mike Flood 45% |
| Tavern Research | 2026-05-16 – 2026-05-19 | 1079 LV | Mike Flood 45% · Chris Backemeyer 43% |
| Zenith Research | 2026-05-08 – 2026-05-11 | 371 LV | Mike Flood 45% · Chris Backemeyer 38% |
Every claim about this race (0)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
No approved claim names this race yet.
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