2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election
Governors · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Brett Lindstrom (Other parties)—
- Jim Pillen (Republican, incumbent)Won—
- Lynne Walz (Democratic)—
- Rick Beard (Other parties)—
Jim Pillen by — in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: wikipedia-2026
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The market · Polymarket · November 3, 2026
- Jim Pillen89¢
- Lynne Walz11¢
A price in cents is the market's probability. This is the last price we read before the polls closed; prices taken after the vote are not shown. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any market or sportsbook. Not betting or financial advice.
The polls · VoteHub · 3 polls in 21 days · through October 29, 2026
- Jim Pillen48.0%
- Lynne Walz42.7%
- Rick Beard5.0%
- Brett Lindstrom4.5%
Jim Pillen by 5.3 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 5 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 2026-10-26 – 2026-10-29 | 1979 LV | Jim Pillen 50% · Lynne Walz 47% |
| Echelon Insights · for NetChoice | 2026-10-16 – 2026-10-23 | 407 LV | Jim Pillen 47% · Lynne Walz 40% · Rick Beard 7% · Brett Lindstrom 4% |
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-15 – 2026-10-18 | 598 LV | Jim Pillen 47% · Lynne Walz 41% · Brett Lindstrom 5% · Rick Beard 3% |
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-02 – 2026-10-05 | 800 LV | Jim Pillen 44% · Lynne Walz 40% · Brett Lindstrom 7% · Rick Beard 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (DEM) | 2026-04-06 – 2026-04-07 | 670 RV | Jim Pillen 38% · Lynne Walz 33% |
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Jim Pillen1 pick · won
Every claim about this race (1)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
Kyle Kondik: Jim Pillen wins NE governorship (2026) — “Likely Republican”
Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election · the take
Hit · 100
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