Who called the 2022 elections
Every checkable call named pundits made about the 2022 US elections — who wins each race, by how much, who controls each chamber and with how many seats, and by how much a party wins the national House popular vote — and, once the results are certified, how each one turned out. Graded the same way as everything else on this site: against the certified result, with a naive baseline beside it.
Claims on the record
0
Pundits
0
Graded
0
Grades land once results are certified and the chapter is signed.
Election Day
November 8, 2022
The races
How much of each office the record covers, and how many have a certified result loaded.
- Governors36 races · 0 with claims · 36 with results
- House436 races · 0 with claims · 436 with results
- Senate36 races · 0 with claims · 36 with results
Congress
Seats by party after the election, as the record has them.
- House · Republican control
- Republican222(+9)
- Democratic213(-9)
- Senate · Democratic control
- Democratic51(+1)
- Republican49(-1)
- Independent0
What gets graded
The election prediction types we grade, and how many of each the record holds.
- Chamber ControlA call on which party controls the Senate or the House after an election. Graded right or wrong once control is settled.0 claims
- House Popular Vote MarginsHow much a party wins or loses the national popular vote for the House by: the votes of every House race added up. Graded on the distance from the certified national margin.0 claims
- Race MarginsHow much a candidate wins or loses by: the margin or vote share in one race, or electoral votes for the presidency. Graded on the distance from the certified result.0 claims
- Race WinnersA call on who wins one race: a Senate or House seat, a governorship, or the presidency, nationally or in one state. Graded right or wrong against the certified winner.0 claims
- Seat CountsHow many seats a party ends up holding in the Senate or the House, or how many it gains or loses. Graded on the distance from the certified count.0 claims
- Seats Most Likely to FlipA pundit's ordered list of the seats most likely to change party. Graded against which of them actually flipped and by how much.0 claims
Most called races
No approved claims name a 2022 race yet.
Most called people
Nobody yet.
Parties
No party-level claims yet.
Results come from certified public sources — the Federal Election Commission’s compilations, the Clerk of the House’s certified statistics and state canvasses — never from a prediction market, a sportsbook or a poll. The arithmetic is in the methodology.