Democratic

G. Elliott Morris: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026) — “very likely”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026) — “likely”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Sherrod Brown wins OH Senate (special) (2026) — “somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 99% chance that the Democrats will win 218 seats or more”

Chamber Control · Oct 3, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026) — “somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 99% chance”

Chamber Control · Oct 3, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026) — “likely”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026) — “very likely”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “up into the seventies”

Chamber Control · Oct 3, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026) — “somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026) — “very likely”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “up into the 70s”

Chamber Control · Oct 3, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Sherrod Brown wins OH Senate (special) (2026) — “somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 99% chance that the Democrats will win 218 seats or more”

Chamber Control · Oct 3, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026) — “look likely, according to our model”

Race Winners · Oct 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

Michael Shepherd: Hannah Pingree wins ME governorship (2026) — “basically the runaway favorite”

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 Maine gubernatorial election · the take

Geoffrey Skelley: Hannah Pingree wins ME governorship (2026) — “likely democratic”

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 Maine gubernatorial election · the take

Geoffrey Skelley: Sherrod Brown wins OH Senate (special) (2026) — “a very narrow favorite in our forecast”

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio · the take

Sean Trende: Brian Poindexter wins OH-07 House seat (2026) — “leaning pickup”

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's district 7 · the take

Sean Trende: Democratic control the House (2026) — “they're likely to lose the house”

Chamber Control · Oct 2, 2026 · the take

Tom Bevan: JB Pritzker wins IL governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election · the take

Sean Trende: Democratic: 226 seats in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Oct 2, 2026 · the take

Tommy Vietor: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Matthew Yglesias: Xavier Becerra wins CA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 California gubernatorial election · the take

Kirk Bado: Democratic: between fifteen and twenty or so seats net in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Oct 2, 2026 · the take

Justin Robert Young: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

Kirk Bado: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Oct 2, 2026 · the take

Kirk Bado: Elaine Luria wins VA-02 House seat (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 2 · the take

Kirk Bado: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Justin Robert Young: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Kirk Bado: Shannon Taylor wins VA-01 House seat (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 2, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 1 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Troy Jackson wins ME Senate (2026) — “leaning more towards the Democrats”

Race Winners · Oct 1, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “Democrats have a 73% chance at the Senate”

Chamber Control · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “The House at 99%”

Chamber Control · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 99 out of 100 chance”

Chamber Control · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “a 73 out of 100 chance”

Chamber Control · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

David Nir: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 99% chance”

Chamber Control · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: +35 seats net in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: 52 seats in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: 52 seats in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026) — “likely to flip from Republican to Democrat”

Race Winners · Oct 1, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Sherrod Brown wins OH Senate (special) (2026) — “leaning more towards the Democrats”

Race Winners · Oct 1, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio · the take

Robby Soave: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “a very likely outcome”

Chamber Control · Oct 1, 2026 · the take

Robby Soave: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 1, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Galen Druke: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins AK governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 1, 2026 · 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election · the take

James Brooks: Mary Peltola wins AK Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Oct 1, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska · the take

Barbara Sprunt: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 30, 2026 · the take

Emily Jashinsky: Peggy Flanagan wins MN Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota · the take

Ryan Girdusky: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026) — “very likely by a big number”

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Ryan Girdusky: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Erick-Woods Erickson: Sherrod Brown wins OH Senate (special) (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio · the take

Erick-Woods Erickson: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

Erick-Woods Erickson: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 30, 2026 · the take

Chuck Todd: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Chuck Todd: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 30, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Miles Parks: Emanuel Cleaver wins MO-05 House seat (2026) — “seems to be safe”

Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Missouri's district 5 · the take

David Pakman: Democratic control the House (2026) — “likely to lose”

Chamber Control · Sep 29, 2026 · the take

Mike Murphy: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

David Axelrod: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 29, 2026 · the take

John Anzalone: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Mike Murphy: Adam Hamilton wins KS Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas · the take

Mike Murphy: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “more likely than not”

Chamber Control · Sep 29, 2026 · the take

David Axelrod: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Harry Enten: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 29, 2026 · the take

Tom Bevan: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

Tom Bevan: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “a 60% chance of winning the senate”

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic control the House (2026) — “an 88% chance of winning the house”

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Mary Peltola wins AK Senate (2026) — “a little bit more favored”

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska · the take

Lakshya Jain: Peggy Flanagan wins MN Senate (2026) — “likely Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota · the take

Steve Deace: Democratic: 51 seats in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Steve Deace: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Steve Deace: Democratic control the Senate (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Mark Halperin: Democratic: at least six senate seats net net in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Mark Halperin: Democratic: at least 25 house seats net net in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Krystal Ball: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Krystal Ball: Rob Sand wins IA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “now favored (at a 7-in-10 chance) to flip the Senate”

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “almost a sure bet to win back control of the House”

Chamber Control · Sep 28, 2026 · the take

Ryan Girdusky: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Erick-Woods Erickson: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

Chuck Todd: Kathy Hochul wins NY governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 New York gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Chuck Todd: Maura Healey wins MA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: Kathy Hochul wins NY governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 New York gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: Xavier Becerra wins CA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 California gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Chuck Todd: Xavier Becerra wins CA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 California gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: Maura Healey wins MA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election · the take

State of the Union (CNN): Josh Shapiro wins PA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 27, 2026 · 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election · the take

State of the Union (CNN): Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 27, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: +25 seats net in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 27, 2026 · the take

Geoffrey Skelley: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026) — “toss-up column; a very small edge in terms of probability of victory, pretty close to fifty fifty”

Race Winners · Sep 25, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Nate Silver: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 25, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Mary Radcliffe: Amy Klobuchar wins MN governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 24, 2026 · 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “about a 70% chance of winning complete control of Congress”

Chamber Control · Sep 24, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “all but certain, really, to lose their house majority”

Chamber Control · Sep 24, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “about a 70% chance of winning complete control of Congress”

Chamber Control · Sep 24, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “a better than even odds of them losing the senate too”

Chamber Control · Sep 24, 2026 · the take

Carl Cannon: Mary Peltola wins AK Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 24, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska · the take

Erick-Woods Erickson: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 23, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Erick-Woods Erickson: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 23, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

Justin Robert Young: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 22, 2026 · the take

Gabe Fleisher: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 22, 2026 · the take

Tom Bevan: JB Pritzker wins IL governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 22, 2026 · 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election · the take

Tom Bevan: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 22, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Kyle Kondik: Christina Bohannan wins IA-01 House seat (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 22, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Iowa's district 1 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 22, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Jason Corley: Peggy Flanagan wins MN Senate (2026) — “lean D”

Race Winners · Sep 21, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota · the take

Chuck Todd: Democratic control the House (2026)

Chamber Control · Sep 21, 2026 · the take

Nathaniel Rakich: Emanuel Cleaver wins MO-05 House seat (2026) — “likely to reelect”

Race Winners · Sep 18, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Missouri's district 5 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 98% chance of the majority”

Chamber Control · Sep 18, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: 228 seats in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 18, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “Democrats are 83% to win the House”

Chamber Control · Sep 18, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: 238 seats in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 18, 2026 · the take

Ryan Girdusky: Maxine Waters wins CA-43 House seat (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 18, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in California's district 43 · the take

Ryan Girdusky: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 18, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Dan Pfeiffer: Chris Pappas wins NH Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 18, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the Senate (2026) — “a 65% chance in the Senate”

Chamber Control · Sep 17, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “97%”

Chamber Control · Sep 17, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic control the House (2026) — “a 97% chance of winning the House”

Chamber Control · Sep 17, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Democratic: 51 seats in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 17, 2026 · the take

G. Elliott Morris: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026) — “pretty much a done deal”

Race Winners · Sep 17, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Buck Sexton: Roy Cooper wins NC Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 17, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · the take

David Nir: Emanuel Cleaver wins MO-05 House seat (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 17, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Missouri's district 5 · the take

Galen Druke: Jon Ossoff wins GA Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 17, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · the take

Kyle Kondik: Rebecca Bennett wins NJ-07 House seat (2026) — “we now view Rep. Tom Kean Jr. (R, NJ-7) as a modest underdog”

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in New Jersey's district 7 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Chris Pappas wins NH Senate (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire · the take

Kyle Kondik: Rob Sand wins IA governorship (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election · the take

Kyle Kondik: Democratic: 47 seats in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 16, 2026 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Democratic: 210 seats in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 16, 2026 · the take

Ryan Girdusky: James Talarico wins TX Senate (2026) — “probably the favorite candidate to win right now”

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · the take

Chuck Todd: Democratic: 15 to 25 House seats net in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 16, 2026 · the take

Chuck Todd: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Chuck Todd: Abdul El-Sayed wins MI Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Chuck Todd: Rob Sand wins IA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: Rob Sand wins IA governorship (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election · the take

Chuck Todd: Chris Pappas wins NH Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire · the take

Chuck Todd: Democratic: four to six Senate seats net in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 16, 2026 · the take

Chuck Todd: Democratic: 15 to 25 House seats net in the House (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 16, 2026 · the take

Chuck Todd: Chris Pappas wins NH Senate (2026)

Race Winners · Sep 16, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire · the take

Chuck Todd: Democratic: four to six Senate seats net in the Senate (2026)

Seat Counts · Sep 16, 2026 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Greg Landsman wins OH-01 House seat (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 15, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's district 1 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Randy Villegas wins CA-22 House seat (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 15, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in California's district 22 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Vicente Gonzalez wins TX-34 House seat (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 15, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Texas's district 34 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Democratic wins an unplaced race — “One Safe Democratic pickup”

Race Winners · Sep 15, 2026 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Marni von Wilpert wins CA-48 House seat (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 15, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in California's district 48 · the take

Kyle Kondik: Henry Cuellar wins TX-28 House seat (2026) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Sep 15, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Texas's district 28 · the take

Lanny Davis: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 6, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Sam Wang: Laura Gillen wins NY-04 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 4 · the take

Sam Wang: Tony Vargas wins NE-02 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Nebraska's district 2 · the take

Sam Wang: Missy Cotter Smasal wins VA-02 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 2 · the take

Sam Wang: John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22 · the take

Sam Wang: Josh Riley wins NY-19 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 19 · the take

Sam Wang: Democratic: 224 seats in the House (2024)

Seat Counts · Nov 5, 2024 · the take

Sam Wang: Democratic control the House (2024) — “about an 8 in 9 probability that Democrats will win the popular vote – and take control of the House”

Chamber Control · Nov 5, 2024 · the take

Henry Olsen: Bobby Scott wins VA-03 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 3 · the take

Henry Olsen: Kamala Harris: up in the popular vote by about a point and some tenths in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

David Frum: Ruben Gallego wins AZ Senate (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris: 276 electoral votes in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Robby Soave: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Rising (The Hill): Kamala Harris wins FL's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida · the take

Rising (The Hill): Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a landslide”

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Rising (The Hill): Kamala Harris wins TX's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take

Robby Soave: Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Robby Soave: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Robby Soave: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Ben Shapiro: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take

Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris: about three to five points in VA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins MN's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners”

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Minnesota · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners”

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins NY's presidential vote (2024) — “low double digits, if not potentially inside ten”

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New York · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners”

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins NH's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners”

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Hampshire · the take

Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris: about three to five points in MN's presidential vote (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Minnesota · the take

Mark McKinnon: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

David Shuster: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Laura Gillen wins NY-04 House seat (2024) — “Likely Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 4 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic: 48 seats in the Senate (2024)

Seat Counts · Nov 4, 2024 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic: 219 seats in the House (2024)

Seat Counts · Nov 4, 2024 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Josh Riley wins NY-19 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 19 · the take

Lakshya Jain: John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Lakshya Jain: Tony Vargas wins NE-02 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Nebraska's district 2 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Adam Gray wins CA-13 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in California's district 13 · the take

Lakshya Jain: George Whitesides wins CA-27 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in California's district 27 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Janelle Bynum wins OR-05 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Oregon's district 5 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Elissa Slotkin wins MI Senate (2024) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · the take

Lakshya Jain: Tammy Baldwin wins WI Senate (2024) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a 53% chance of winning”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Robert P. Casey Jr. wins PA Senate (2024) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Lakshya Jain: Angela Alsobrooks wins MD Senate (2024) — “Safe Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Maryland · the take

Lakshya Jain: Shomari Figures wins AL-02 House seat (2024) — “strongly favored”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Alabama's district 2 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic wins LA-06 House seat (2024) — “strongly favored”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Louisiana's district 6 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Josh Stein wins NC governorship (2024) — “Safe Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic control the House (2024) — “a 53% chance of retaking the House”

Chamber Control · Nov 4, 2024 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Rudy Salas wins CA-22 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in California's district 22 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Jacky S. Rosen wins NV Senate (2024) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Nevada · the take

Lakshya Jain: Ruben Gallego wins AZ Senate (2024) — “Leans Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take

John Heilemann: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Mike Murphy: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “low to medium confidence”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Bill Kristol: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins NH's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Hampshire · the take

Logan Phillips: Robert P. Casey Jr. wins PA Senate (2024) — “it's eighty percent for the Senate”

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania · the take

Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins NC's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NC's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins AZ's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Arizona · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take

Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins GA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take

Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Ben Shapiro: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Spencer Kimball: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “I still think it leans towards Harris”

Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take

Sean Spicer: Kamala Harris: close six seven points in NJ's presidential vote (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Jersey · the take

Max McCall: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “Kamala Harris at a 53% chance to win”

Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “Kamala Harris at a 53% chance to win”

Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Clay Travis: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Justin Robert Young: Democratic control the House (2024)

Chamber Control · Nov 1, 2024 · the take

Daniel Horowitz: Sherrod Brown wins OH Senate (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take

Steve Deace: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Michael Cohen: Democratic control the House (2024)

Chamber Control · Nov 1, 2024 · the take

Tom LoBianco: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “the fundamentals still favor Harris”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Isaac Saul: Democratic control the House (2024)

Chamber Control · Nov 1, 2024 · the take

Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris: 270 electoral votes in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Emily Jashinsky: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Emily Jashinsky: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Nathan Gonzales: Eugene Vindman wins VA-07 House seat (2024) — “tilt democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 7 · the take

Jacob Rubashkin: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “You'd still rather be Harris than Trump at this point”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Nathan Gonzales: Tammy Baldwin wins WI Senate (2024) — “tilt Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin · the take

Nathan Gonzales: Democratic: anywhere from a Democratic net gain of nine seats to a Republican net gain of a single seat net in the House (2024)

Seat Counts · Nov 1, 2024 · the take

Nathan Gonzales: Robert P. Casey Jr. wins PA Senate (2024) — “tilt Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania · the take

Jacob Rubashkin: Sarah Elfreth wins MD-03 House seat (2024) — “almost certainly”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Maryland's district 3 · the take

Jacob Rubashkin: Christina Bohannan wins IA-01 House seat (2024) — “tilt Democratic”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Iowa's district 1 · the take

David Nir: Josh Stein wins NC governorship (2024) — “was favored to win the governorship”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election · the take

Jon Favreau: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take

Jon Favreau: Kamala Harris wins MA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Massachusetts · the take

Jeff Singer: Jacky S. Rosen wins NV Senate (2024) — “still much rather be Rosen”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Nevada · the take

Jeff Singer: Kamala Harris wins NE's presidential vote (2024) — “likely to carry the Omaha blue dot in its electoral vote”

Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nebraska · the take

Spencer Kimball: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “I still think it leans towards Harris”

Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take

David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024) — “likely to go blue”

Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take

Nate Silver: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a seventy one point four percent probability of winning the popular vote”

Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Jon Lovett: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “keep it by about twenty twenty margins”

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “narrowly winning”

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris: about a point and a half, two points or so in MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Margins · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Nate Silver: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a fifty three percent chance”

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Gabe Fleisher: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “basically tossup with Harris' slight edge”

Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Gabe Fleisher: Democratic control the House (2024) — “most likely”

Chamber Control · Oct 30, 2024 · the take

Mike Murphy: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “definitely gonna win the popular vote”

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Mike Murphy: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “only by a whisker”

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Steve Deace: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Steve Deace: Kamala Harris: 241 electoral votes in the presidency (2024)

Race Margins · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins NJ's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Jersey · the take

David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins MA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Massachusetts · the take

David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins NY's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New York · the take

David Pakman: Ruben Gallego wins AZ Senate (2024) — “In all likelihood, Carrie Lake will be defeated once again”

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take

David Nir: Kelly Morrison wins MN-03 House seat (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Minnesota's district 3 · the take

David Nir: Josh Stein wins NC governorship (2024) — “favored to win the governorship”

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election · the take

Mariel Garza: Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in California · the take

Carl Cannon: Kamala Harris wins CA's presidential vote (2024) — “carry her home state by 4,000,000 votes or more”

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in California · the take

Carl Cannon: Kamala Harris wins NY's presidential vote (2024) — “carry Donald Trump's home state by a million and a half votes or more”

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New York · the take

Phil Wegman: Kamala Harris wins NY's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New York · the take

Clay Travis: Kamala Harris wins NY's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New York · the take

Bill Kristol: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins CO's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Colorado · the take

Logan Phillips: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “modestly favorite”

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take

Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NJ's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Jersey · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “Probably not”

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take

Liz Cheney: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024)

Race Winners · Oct 27, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins NV's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”

Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins MI's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”

Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Michigan · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins the presidency (2024) — “a 53% chance of winning the Electoral College”

Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”

Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take

Lakshya Jain: Democratic control the House (2024) — “Democrats remain marginally favored to flip the chamber, but at 52%”

Chamber Control · Oct 26, 2024 · the take

Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins WI's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”

Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Wisconsin · the take