2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona
Senate · November 8, 2022 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Mark Kelly (Democratic, incumbent)Won51.4% · 1,322,027
- Blake Masters (Republican)46.5% · 1,196,308
- Marc J. Victor (Libertarian)2.1% · 53,762
Mark Kelly by 4.9 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · source: fec-2022
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Blake Masters12 picks · lost
- Mark Kelly4 picks · won
Every claim about this race (16)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
Glenn Beck: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Clay Travis: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Ben Shapiro: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Michael Duncan: Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Hit · 100Lakshya Jain: Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022) — “LEANS DEMOCRATIC”
Race Winners · Nov 7, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Hit · 100Krystal Ball: Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 7, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Hit · 100Erick-Woods Erickson: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 7, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0John King: Mark Kelly wins AZ Senate (2022) — “We still tilt Arizona Democratic”
Race Winners · Nov 6, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Hit · 100Marc Short: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 6, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Clay Travis: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Daniel Horowitz: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Saagar Enjeti: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Saagar Enjeti: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 27, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Clay Travis: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Comfortably Smug: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0Ben Shapiro: Blake Masters wins AZ Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona · the take
Miss · 0
More 2022 races
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- 2022 U.S. House election in Arizona's district 2 · 1 call
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- 2022 U.S. House election in Arizona's district 6 · 1 call
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- 2022 U.S. Senate election in Georgia · 30 calls
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- 2022 New York gubernatorial election · 26 calls