2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio

Senate · November 8, 2022 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

JD Vance (Republican)Won53.0% · 2,192,114
Tim Ryan (Democratic)46.9% · 1,939,489

JD Vance by 6.1 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: fec-2022

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 30Nov 6Nov 13

JD Vance 14· 14 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

JD Vance17 picks · won

Every claim about this race (19)

Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.

Jim Geraghty: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022) — “looking pretty Republican”
Race Winners · Nov 9, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Tom Bevan: JD Vance: a margin of +8 points in OH Senate (2022)
Race Margins · Nov 9, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 81
Megyn Kelly: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 9, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Clay Travis: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Ryan Girdusky: JD Vance: win by over ten points in OH Senate (2022)
Race Margins · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Close · 61
John Ashbrook: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 7, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 7, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Sarah Isgur: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Clay Travis: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Robby Soave: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Mary Katharine Ham: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Daniel Horowitz: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Newt Gingrich: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
John Ashbrook: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Kyle Kondik: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100
Krystal Ball: JD Vance wins OH Senate (2022)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2022 · 2022 U.S. Senate election in Ohio · the take
Hit · 100

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