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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
14% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
178 / 1,251
graded
1,073 still pending
By season
326–350 of 1,251
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.09)
If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.09)
With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.
Amon-Ra St. Brown to outplay his draft cost (ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
Some might see him as a high-floor option, but it's fair to point out that not much more would need to swing his way for a WR1 overall finish.
Tony Pollard to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 8.01)
If little changes around him, Pollard should remain a low-end RB2, yet he is currently being drafted slightly later than that as fantasy managers chase more perceived upside elsewhere.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 2.04)
Chase Brown , Cincinnati Bengals (ADP: 2.04) ... The league winners are early-round targets with a better chance than similarly priced players to deliver first-round value.
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 2.06)
Kenneth Walker , Kansas City Chiefs (ADP: 2.06) ... At minimum, Walker projects as a weekly fantasy starter.
Ja'Kobi Lane to outplay his draft cost (basically free as the WR92)
Given that Lane is basically free as the WR92, he has the opportunity to approach double-digit touchdowns if things shake out right.
Tre Tucker to outplay his draft cost (At WR60)
Tre Tucker is my favorite sleeper outside the top 40 because the breakout opportunity is already hiding in his usage... At WR60, I'm buying the established playing time
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (the final rounds of drafts)
The sleeper wide receiver I'm interested in targeting late is Cleveland Brown's rookie KC Concepcion ... the potential to land a team's WR1 in the final rounds of drafts is worth taking a chance on.
K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns
Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (a WR50 half-PPR ranking)
At a WR50 half‑PPR ranking, that combination makes him one of the best sleepers on the board.
Matthew GoldenGreen Bay Packers
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (Currently the WR49)
Currently the WR49, Concepcion has what it takes to separate himself from everyone in his WR room... Concepcion could be a home run selection for fantasy managers at double-digit round cost.
K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns
Davante Adams to outplay his draft cost (He's currently the WR23 (47th overall))
He's currently the WR23 (47th overall), which is a little rich for me, but if he stays healthy and maintains his role in this offense, he's a steal.
Jameson Williams to outplay his draft cost (his WR25 half-PPR ranking)
Williams' combination of volume, explosiveness, and an ascending role makes him a strong breakout candidate at his current ADP.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (WR26)
Now paired with Josh Allen, Moore is primed to WAY outperform his WR26 ranking
Rome Odunze to outplay his draft cost (WR29)
Rome Odunze at WR29 is one of those prices where I think the market is remembering how last season ended and not nearly enough about how it started... WR29 is a price I'm more than willing to pay
Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost (isn't a 1st round asset)
Emeka Egbuka is the one player that immediately comes to mind when the question of "who isn't a 1st round asset that could become one in 2027" is asked. Egbuka has that level of ceiling in 2026.
Emeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (We rank Stribling around WR37 while consensus remains much lower)
De'Zhaun Stribling remains my favorite sleeper outside the top 40, with KC Concepcion the other option I seriously considered.
De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers
Jalen Nailor to outplay his draft cost (a consensus ranking at WR 68)
With a consensus ranking at WR 68, Nailor is pretty much free, and I think based on his talent alone, he outperforms his draft cost in street shoes.
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (priced like a rotational piece outside the top 50)
De'Zhaun Stribling is one of my favorite deep sleepers because his draft cost is still far too low for his potential role.
De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (around WR48 in Half-PPR ECR)
at this price I think Robinson has a good chance to finish well ahead of where he is being drafted
Wan'Dale RobinsonTennessee Titans
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (still presenting him as a value in the 6th round)
Should he smash expectations at a 6th round valuation? Absolutely.
Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (roughly WR11 to WR13 in the market)
Chris Olave is my answer because the market is still pricing him as a back-end WR1 while I see a legitimate path to a top-five season.
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (WR30)
Parker Washington is my favorite breakout candidate at his current WR30 cost
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (going around WR29 in both Half-PPR ECR and ADP)
He is going around WR29 in both Half-PPR ECR and ADP even after finishing as the WR15 in points per game last season... I think he has a legitimate chance to finish as a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside at a WR3 draft cost.
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (WR41)
If the added opportunity pushes Downs back over 100 targets, WR41 is going to look a lot more like his floor than his ceiling.