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Tom StrachanAug 26, 2026

Strachan lays out draft strategy from the 1.09 pick, arguing Amon-Ra St. Brown, James Cook, CeeDee Lamb and Saquon Barkley are values there, while calling elite tight ends Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, plus Omarion Hampton, players to avoid at that spot. They also expect the first five picks of drafts to be Robinson, Gibbs, Chase, Nacua and Smith-Njigba.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting9 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 9Settled9 still waiting
9Waitingnot graded yet

What Tom Strachan said

While the passing offense will be spread out, Cook remains the safest and strongest bet outside of Josh Allen.
Tom Strachan, the lead quote
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Fantasy Football Mock Draft: How to Approach Pick 1.09 (2026)
The original
Read the original

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Fantasy Bust Calls0003
Sleeper Calls0004
Depth Chart Calls0001
Fantasy Rankings0001
All0009

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 4 sleeper calls, 3 fantasy bust calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Fantasy Bust Calls3 waitingShow ▸
  1. Omarion Hampton to fall short of his draft cost (1.09)

    “Omarion Hampton and the Chargers are very much the target of offseason hype... there are reasons not to get too carried away with offseason hype.”

    Omarion HamptonLos Angeles Chargers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.09)

    “Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”

    Trey McBrideArizona Cardinals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.09)

    “Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”

    Brock Bowers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Sleeper Calls4 waitingShow ▸
  1. James Cook to outplay his draft cost (1.09)

    “If reports from training camp are true and the Bills do use Cook more in the receiving game, a top-two finish is within his range of outcomes.”

    James CookBuffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.09)

    “If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range.”

    CeeDee LambDallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.09)

    “With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.”

    Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Amon-Ra St. Brown to outplay his draft cost (ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba)

    “Some might see him as a high-floor option, but it's fair to point out that not much more would need to swing his way for a WR1 overall finish.”

    Amon-Ra St. BrownDetroit Lions

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Saquon Barkley to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Barkley is the undoubted No. 1 RB in an offense that will score points”

    Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Fantasy Rankings1 waitingShow ▸
  1. “The top of the draft will start with Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs and Ja'Marr Chase likely as the first three picks off the board. After that, Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba usually go next before things open up slightly.”

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.