Tom StrachanAug 26, 2026
Strachan lays out draft strategy from the 1.09 pick, arguing Amon-Ra St. Brown, James Cook, CeeDee Lamb and Saquon Barkley are values there, while calling elite tight ends Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, plus Omarion Hampton, players to avoid at that spot. They also expect the first five picks of drafts to be Robinson, Gibbs, Chase, Nacua and Smith-Njigba.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Tom Strachan said
While the passing offense will be spread out, Cook remains the safest and strongest bet outside of Josh Allen.
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft: How to Approach Pick 1.09 (2026)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantasy Bust Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Sleeper Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fantasy Rankings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 4 sleeper calls, 3 fantasy bust calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Fantasy Bust Calls3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Omarion Hampton to fall short of his draft cost (1.09)
“Omarion Hampton and the Chargers are very much the target of offseason hype... there are reasons not to get too carried away with offseason hype.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.09)
“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.09)
“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Sleeper Calls4 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
James Cook to outplay his draft cost (1.09)
“If reports from training camp are true and the Bills do use Cook more in the receiving game, a top-two finish is within his range of outcomes.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.09)
“If you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see Lamb as a value pick in this range.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.09)
“With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Amon-Ra St. Brown to outplay his draft cost (ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba)
“Some might see him as a high-floor option, but it's fair to point out that not much more would need to swing his way for a WR1 overall finish.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Saquon Barkley to be 1st on the depth chart
“Barkley is the undoubted No. 1 RB in an offense that will score points”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Fantasy Rankings1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
“The top of the draft will start with Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs and Ja'Marr Chase likely as the first three picks off the board. After that, Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba usually go next before things open up slightly.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers, James Cook, Buffalo Bills, Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles, Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals, CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys, Brock Bowers, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · Tyreek Hill · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.