Chris Simms· Oct 23, 2026

After the Bears beat the Patriots on Thursday night, Simms said he wouldn't be shocked to see the two meet in the Super Bowl, and then gave predicted final scores for every Week 7 game, including Seattle over Kansas City on Sunday night and Dallas winning in Philadelphia.

“I would not be shocked if we saw it in the Super Bowl.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →

14 checkable claims — 12 score predictions and 2 conference champions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 41.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

14 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Denver BroncosOct 23, 2026
Denver Broncos 24 — Arizona 17
“I'm gonna have the Broncos covering 24 to 17.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 15.84+112.72 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-16
skill:
112.72
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
15.84
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.35
predicted margin:
7
Closing line (Oct 25): Broncos by 4.5, total 44.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 7) and fewer points (41). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
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Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksOct 23, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 21 — Chiefs 17
“I am gonna take the Seahawks to win this 20 to 17... I'll take the Seahawks to cover. Let's make it 21 to 17.”
Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 58.69+17.29 skill
How this was scored
score:
3-20
skill:
17.29
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
69.05
baseline:
58.69
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.35
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and fewer points (38). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
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Score Predictions Green Bay PackersOct 23, 2026
Green Bay Packers 34 — Lions 31
“I'm gonna go Packers thirty four thirty one. Gonna have them win this football game.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 92.03-70.18 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-20
skill:
−70.18
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
92.03
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.35
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–31 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 37%) and more points (65).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Los Angeles RamsOct 23, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 23 — Raiders 20
“I'm gonna go with the Rams twenty three twenty here. I I do think this will be close”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 15.84+96.82 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-21
skill:
96.82
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
15.84
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.35
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5, total 49.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and fewer points (43).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Pittsburgh SteelersOct 23, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Saints 20
“I expect it to be close. I'm gonna say twenty four twenty pit.”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 35.04+100.54 skill
How this was scored
score:
16-10
skill:
100.54
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
35.04
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and more points (44).
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Score Predictions Minnesota VikingsOct 23, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 24 — Colts 10
“Like, I I got the Vikings 24 to 10.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 85.04-6.82 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-16
skill:
−6.82
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
85.04
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5, total 41.5 · this 24–10 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 14) and fewer points (34).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions San Francisco 49ersOct 23, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 27 — Falcons 17
“I got the forty niners winning twenty seven seventeen.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 77.89-50.56 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-29
skill:
−50.56
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
77.89
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
9
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
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Score Predictions Cincinnati BengalsOct 23, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 30 — Ravens 27
“I'm going with the Bengals to win straight up. I'm going 30 to 27.”
Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 0+91.45 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-13
skill:
91.45
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
54.76
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3, total 46.5 · this 30–27 calls the line’s margin (Bengals by 3) and more points (57).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cleveland BrownsOct 23, 2026
Cleveland Browns 17 — Titans 16
“I'm taking the Browns. I'm gonna take them to win. My score is... I picked at seventeen sixteen.”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 42.18+88.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-24
skill:
88.61
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
42.18
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 25): Browns by 1.5, total 36.5 · this 17–16 calls a closer game (Browns by 1) and fewer points (33).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Houston TexansOct 23, 2026
Houston Texans 33 — Giants 16
“Texans 33 to 16. I think they might hang around for a little bit, and then it's just kinda like a slow pull away”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 35.04-18.75 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-21
skill:
−18.75
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
35.04
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
17
Closing line (Oct 25): Texans by 10, total 42.5 · this 33–16 calls a bigger Texans win (by 17) and more points (49).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Carolina PanthersOct 23, 2026
Carolina Panthers 27 — Bucs 17
“So like I said, I'm going Panthers twenty seven seventeen.”
Miss · 2Scored 2.38a naive guess scored 0+3.98 skill
How this was scored
score:
43-13
skill:
3.98
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
2.38
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
30
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Oct 25): Panthers by 3, total 44.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New York JetsOct 23, 2026
New York Jets 28 — Dolphins 14
“I'm taking the jets 28 to 14. I think they're gonna control this football game.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 42.18-30.68 skill
How this was scored
score:
28-25
skill:
−30.68
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
42.18
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.28
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 28–14 calls a bigger Jets win (by 14) and more points (42).
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions New England PatriotsOct 23, 2026
New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl
“I would not be shocked if we saw it in the Super Bowl. (Bears-Patriots)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Chicago BearsOct 23, 2026
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
“I don't think... I I would not be shocked if we saw it in the Super Bowl.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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What others said about the same people

John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Zac CorneliusScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 29
Zach projected the Buccaneers to beat the Bears 24-12.
Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Detroit LionsHit · 83
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
Grant ChachereScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 69
Chachere picks the Saints to beat the Browns 24-10, arguing Cleveland's switch to Shedeur Sanders with Deshaun Watson out tilts the game toward New Orleans.
Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysHit · 93
Arthur predicted the Cowboys would beat the Colts 31-24 at Lucas Oil Stadium, a closer loss than Indianapolis' recent blowouts, citing Dallas' large talent edge offset by its poor defense. He also made several lineup calls for the game and suggested it could be Jonathan Taylor's last home game as a Colt ahead of the trade deadline.
Evan “Foxy” FoxScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 67
Foxy predicted a blowout Lions win over the Dolphins by a score of 45-21.
Nick WrightScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsClose · 71
Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside his spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

14 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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