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Eric Mangini#86 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 24, 2026

Mangini picked the Rams to win in Seattle, citing McVay and Stafford's edge in a third meeting and Seattle's inability to pressure Stafford.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#86Eric Mangini’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Eric Mangini said

I'm going Rams on this.
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle Seahawks
The episode
Patriots vs. Broncos, Rams vs. Seahawks, Most to Gain & Lose, Upset Alert and Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 23
  2. GradedAug 17

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Seattle Seahawks

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5 · underdog pick, Rams 44%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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