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Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 22, 2026

Jeremiah referenced their preseason pick of the Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl, and predicted Seattle's defense gets back on track and hands Kansas City its first loss on Sunday night. They also suggested Isaiah Likely would be a Pro Bowl-caliber performer this season.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think they get right back on track here with this one, and the Chiefs get their first loss.
Daniel Jeremiah, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Top 5 SURPRISES & ADDITIONS Through First Six Weeks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 22
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 26
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs“This is a defensive showcase game for me. I think they get right back on track here with this one, and the Chiefs get their first loss.”
  2. 2Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl“It's number two for the surprises because I picked them to win the dang Super Bowl. Houston Texans are two and four.”
  3. 3Isaiah Likely to make Pro Bowl“The only thing that's gonna keep this guy from playing in the Pro Bowl game is the fact that we might not have one anymore, Baldy.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs1Game Outcome PicksSeahawks 20–31001000
Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl Picks————
Isaiah Likely to make Pro Bowl3Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting100100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs

    What happenedSeahawks 20–3Chiefs at Seahawks
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.67difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 59%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.