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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 5, 2025

Rosenthal's ten picks in the best-wide-receivers draft (overall picks 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27 and 30), taking A.J. Brown third and trading to grab Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 18 while sliding DK Metcalf to 21. They also said Drake London could produce a first-team All-Pro season, sees Smith-Njigba as a true No. 1, and believes Daniel Jones will win the Colts' starting job.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
66.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
87.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It supports this gnawing feeling I've had patrick this whole time that this is Danny Dimes's job to lose.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Aaron Rodgers Signs and Top-30 Wide Receivers in the NFL
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
  1. 1Drake London to make First-Team All-Pro“it wouldn't shock me at all if he goes and has like a first team All Pro type of season this year”
  2. 2Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“that's been my number one thing is like, Okay, I see, I see what you're doing. You're you're winning this job if everyone's healthy”
  3. 3Top Player Lists“Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown (3), CeeDee Lamb (6), Brian Thomas Jr. (9), Drake London (12), Mike Evans (15), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (18 after trade), DK Metcalf (21), Jaylen Waddle (24), Jordan Addison (27), Josh Downs (30)”
  4. 4Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart“showed last year that I think he's even better than I expected he could be at the NFL level, that he can be like a true one”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Drake London to make First-Team All-Pro1Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsDid not make it0100−200
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
“Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown…”3Top Player Lists—64.2450+28.48
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled66.187.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 66.1 out of 100, against 87.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsDrake LondonAtlanta Falcons

    Drake London to make First-Team All-Pro

    What happenedDid not make itAll-Pro first team
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Drake London
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDaniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Top Player Lists

    “Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown (3), CeeDee Lamb (6), Brian Thomas Jr. (9), Drake London (12), Mike Evans (15), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (18 after trade), DK Metcalf (21), Jaylen Waddle (24), Jordan Addison (27), Josh Downs (30)”

    VerdictClose
    64.24Close · naive 50
    64.24this call50a naive guess14.24better than naive2difficulty+28.48skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    28.48
    placed:
    10
    season:
    2025
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    64.24
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 10: 64.24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Depth Chart CallsJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by receptions
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SEA
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    66.1naive 87.5

Others on the same people

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