Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 5, 2025
Rosenthal's ten picks in the best-wide-receivers draft (overall picks 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27 and 30), taking A.J. Brown third and trading to grab Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 18 while sliding DK Metcalf to 21. They also said Drake London could produce a first-team All-Pro season, sees Smith-Njigba as a true No. 1, and believes Daniel Jones will win the Colts' starting job.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIt supports this gnawing feeling I've had patrick this whole time that this is Danny Dimes's job to lose.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Aaron Rodgers Signs and Top-30 Wide Receivers in the NFL
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJun 5, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
- 1Drake London to make First-Team All-Pro“it wouldn't shock me at all if he goes and has like a first team All Pro type of season this year”
- 2Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“that's been my number one thing is like, Okay, I see, I see what you're doing. You're you're winning this job if everyone's healthy”
- 3Top Player Lists“Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown (3), CeeDee Lamb (6), Brian Thomas Jr. (9), Drake London (12), Mike Evans (15), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (18 after trade), DK Metcalf (21), Jaylen Waddle (24), Jordan Addison (27), Josh Downs (30)”
- 4Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart“showed last year that I think he's even better than I expected he could be at the NFL level, that he can be like a true one”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake London to make First-Team All-Pro1 | Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls | Did not make it | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart2 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| “Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown…”3 | Top Player Lists | — | 64.24 | 50 | +28.48 | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 66.1 | 87.5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 66.1 out of 100, against 87.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsDrake LondonAtlanta Falcons
Drake London to make First-Team All-Pro
What happenedDid not make itAll-Pro first team0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- made:
- no
- naive:
- he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- selection:
- all_pro_first_team
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Depth Chart CallsDaniel JonesIndianapolis Colts
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Daniel Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown (3), CeeDee Lamb (6), Brian Thomas Jr. (9), Drake London (12), Mike Evans (15), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (18 after trade), DK Metcalf (21), Jaylen Waddle (24), Jordan Addison (27), Josh Downs (30)”
VerdictClose64.24Close · naive 5064.24this call−50a naive guess=14.24better than naive×2difficulty=+28.48skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 28.48
- placed:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 64.24
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 10: 64.24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
4Depth Chart CallsJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by receptions100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- SEA
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
66.1naive 87.5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.Jacob Herlin · Depth Chart Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter.