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JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 10, 2026

Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 3 waiting
70Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
32.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 5Settled3 still waiting
#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think John Harbaugh is a good hire that's gonna get him gonna get the Giants from, like, four wins to, like, seven wins in year one, maybe eight.
JP Acosta, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
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The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 10
  2. GradedAug 13–Nov 11
  1. 1Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons“Because it seems like Cousins is gonna get released.”
  2. 2New York Giants to finish with 7 wins“I think John Harbaugh is a good hire that's gonna get him gonna get the Giants from, like, four wins to, like, seven wins in year one, maybe eight.”
  3. 3Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers“Aaron Rodgers who probably ends up going back to Pittsburgh.”
  4. 4Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts“it's dire straits right now in the, free agent QB market outside of Daniel Jones who probably ends up coming back”
  5. 5Brandon Aiyuk to move“Ricky Pearsall can't stay healthy. Brandon Auke's gonna be gone.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
New York Giants to finish with 7 wins2Season Win Totals44065−25
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers3Trade and Signing Calls————
Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts4Trade and Signing Calls————
Brandon Aiyuk to move5Trade and Signing Calls————
5 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 3 waiting7032.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 70 out of 100, against 32.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta Falcons

    Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    ATL
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded (from LV)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Season Win TotalsNew York Giants

    New York Giants to finish with 7 wins

    What happened4called 7
    40Close · naive 65
    40this call65a naive guess−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NYG
    naive:
    5.75
    skill:
    −25
    what happened:
    4
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    65
    they said:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsAaron RodgersPittsburgh Steelers

    Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Trade and Signing CallsDaniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    70naive 32.5

Others on the same people

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