Skip to main content

John Middlekauff#48 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 24, 2025

Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#48John Middlekauff’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Middlekauff said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Anthey Richardson. He is the new version of Trey Lance. They swung for the fences that they whiffed.
John Middlekauff, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2 - Ranking the last 7
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–Nov 10, 2026
  1. 1Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level“And let's face it, the Anthey Richardson. He is the new version of Trey Lance. They swung for the fences that they whiffed.”
  2. 2New England Patriots to make the playoffs“I also though, if he has the Patriots and who's the other team he is in the playoffs, Oh the Colts.”
  3. 3Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs“if he has the Patriots and who's the other team he is in the playoffs, Oh the Colts. I respect that”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level1Draft Bust Calls—1000+200
New England Patriots to make the playoffs2Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1000+200
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs3Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs0100−200
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled66.733.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 playoff picks and 1 draft bust call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Draft Bust CallsAnthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts

    Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    pick:
    4
    draft:
    2023
    naive:
    the pick returned what picks at that cost typically return
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Anthony Richardson
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    best finish:
    QB25 in 2024
    difficulty:
    2
    had to reach:
    QB7
    weeks in the season:
    18
    seasons played:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the 32 QBs taken within 16 picks of 4, across every draft we hold
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Playoff PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Playoff PicksIndianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    IND
    skill:
    −200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 33.3

Others on the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.