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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 21, 2025

Rosenthal expects Russell Wilson to end up as the Giants' starter, views Stefon Diggs as no better than a No. 2/No. 3 receiver in New England, thinks rookie Tyler Loop wins the Ravens' kicking job, pegs Marquise Valdes-Scantling as only the fourth or fifth Seahawks receiver, likes RJ Harvey as a value relative to their fantasy draft slot, and expects Jawaan Taylor and Cedric Tillman to make their teams.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 6calls landed6 hits · all settled
94.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
94.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I guess he's probably gonna be the starter.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
The Top 59 (!) Position Battles of NFL Training Camp
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–Sep 25, 2026
  1. 1Cedric Tillman to make the roster“well, he's got to make the team. I think he will.”
  2. 2Jawaan Taylor to make the roster“And Juwan Taylor, who's been overpaid the last few years, and if he makes the team this year, and I assume he will”
  3. 3Tyler Loop to be 1st on the depth chart“Tyler Loop, their draft pick will be the heavy favorite over John Hoylan. But you never know.”
  4. 4Stefon Diggs to be 3rd on the depth chart“I considered Digs more of like a two slash three at this stage of his career.”
  5. 5Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be 5th on the depth chart“He probably isn't gonna win that group. I think he'll be fourth or fifth.”
  6. 6Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart“I guess it's Russ's job to lose... I guess he's probably gonna be the starter.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Cedric Tillman to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls13 weeks on a 531001000
Jawaan Taylor to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls14 weeks on a 531001000
Tyler Loop to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+16.67
Stefon Diggs to be 3rd on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 183.3383.330
Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be 5th on the depth chart5Depth Chart CallsNo. 491.67100−16.67
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart6Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6791.670
6 calls · 6 hits · all settled94.494.4

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls and 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 94.4 out of 100, against 94.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsCedric TillmanCleveland Browns

    Cedric Tillman to make the roster

    What happened13 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Cedric Tillman
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Roster Spot CallsJawaan TaylorKansas City Chiefs

    Jawaan Taylor to make the roster

    What happened14 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jawaan Taylor
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsTyler LoopBaltimore Ravens

    Tyler Loop to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by special-teams snaps
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    BAL
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Tyler Loop
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    K
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    special-teams snaps
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsStefon DiggsNew England Patriots

    Stefon Diggs to be 3rd on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 3 · by receptions
    83.33Hit · naive 83.33
    83.33this call83.33a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Stefon Diggs
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    3
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Depth Chart CallsMarquez Valdes-ScantlingSeattle Seahawks

    Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be 5th on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 4called No. 5 · by receptions
    91.67Hit · naive 100
    91.67this call100a naive guess−8.33worse than naive2difficulty−16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    PIT
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Marquez Valdes-Scantling
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    4
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Depth Chart CallsRussell WilsonNew York Giants

    Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Russell Wilson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    94.4naive 94.4

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