Kyle CrabbsMar 28, 2025
Crabbs ranks the top 15 quarterbacks eligible for the 2025 NFL Draft, with Cameron Ward first (and headed to Tennessee), Shedeur Sanders second and Jaxson Dart third, and assigns each a round valuation.
Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original
86Hit · out of 100
Top Player ListsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
86.06This callout of 100
+72.12Skillafter difficulty
What Kyle Crabbs said
Dart will go higher than his valuation here — that’s the quarterback tax in the draft.
- Where it was published
- The 33rd Team
- The piece
- 2025 NFL Draft: Final Top 15 Quarterback Rankings
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 28, 2025
- GradedAug 5, 2026
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 86.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
“Here are our top 15 quarterbacks eligible for the 2025 NFL Draft next month. 2025 NFL Draft Final QB Rankings”
VerdictHit86.06Hit · naive 5086.06this call−50a naive guess=36.06better than naive×2difficulty=+72.12skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 72.12
- placed:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 15
- accuracy:
- 86.06
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 10: 86.06
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
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