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Jeremy FowlerJul 17, 2025

Fowler's polls of anonymous NFL executives, coaches and scouts produced a top 10 wide receiver list led by Ja'Marr Chase and a top 10 quarterback list led by Patrick Mahomes.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 close calls · all settled
52.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Jeremy Fowler said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Now he's got top 10 wide receivers.
Jeremy Fowler, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode
NFL Quarterback And Wide Receiver Power Rankings With Seth Rollins
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidJul 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Top Player Lists“We got Ja'Marr Chase... number one... Justin Jefferson... number two. Tyreek Hill... Three. CeeDee Lamb, AJ Brown, Amon Ra Saint Brown... Malik Neighbors... at number seven... Nico Collins... he's eight now. Mike Evans... he is nine. Garrett Wilson... Number 10”
  2. 2Top Player Lists“Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Lamar, Jane Daniels, five, Stafford, six, Herbert, seven, Goff, Hertz, Baker round out the top 10”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“We got Ja'Marr Chase... number one... Justin Jefferson...…”1Top Player Lists—6050+20
“Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Lamar, Jane Daniels, five, Stafford,…”2Top Player Lists—44.2450−11.52
2 calls · 2 close calls · all settled52.150

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 top player lists — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 52.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Top Player Lists

    “We got Ja'Marr Chase... number one... Justin Jefferson... number two. Tyreek Hill... Three. CeeDee Lamb, AJ Brown, Amon Ra Saint Brown... Malik Neighbors... at number seven... Nico Collins... he's eight now. Mike Evans... he is nine. Garrett Wilson... Number 10”

    VerdictClose
    60Close · naive 50
    60this call50a naive guess10better than naive2difficulty+20skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    20
    placed:
    10
    season:
    2025
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    60
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 10: 60
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Top Player Lists

    “Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Lamar, Jane Daniels, five, Stafford, six, Herbert, seven, Goff, Hertz, Baker round out the top 10”

    VerdictClose
    44.24Close · naive 50
    44.24this call50a naive guess−5.76worse than naive2difficulty−11.52skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    −11.52
    placed:
    10
    season:
    2025
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    44.24
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 10: 44.24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    52.1naive 50
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