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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · May 23, 2025

Rich Eisen counted down their top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than last year: Caleb Williams first, followed by Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Drake Maye and Dak Prescott, with Justin Herbert added as a bonus.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

40Close · out of 100
Top Player ListsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
40This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

Top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than they were in last year.
Rich Eisen’s words, quoted for attribution
The episode
Top 5 NFL Quarterbacks In A Better Situation Now Than Last Year
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMay 23, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 40 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Top Player Lists

    “Top five quarterbacks in a better situation now than they were in last year... Number five on the list... Dakota Prescott... Number four... Drake May... Number three... Justin Fields... Number two on this list... Jaden Daniels... And number one on the list is without a doubt, Caleb Williams.”

    VerdictClose
    40Close · naive 50
    40this call50a naive guess−10worse than naive2difficulty−20skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    −20
    placed:
    5
    season:
    2025
    players:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 5: 40
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

More top player lists

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.