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Mike MayockAug 6, 2025

Mayock says Philadelphia and Baltimore are the two most talented teams in the league, predicts Ravens DT Travis Jones has a breakout year and that Baltimore scores 30-plus points a game, believes Washington is not a one-year aberration with Jayden Daniels becoming a franchise quarterback, and ranks quarterbacks into tiers. He also thinks Aaron Rodgers will land in his 'solid' third tier and help Pittsburgh have a solid year.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting
97.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Mike Mayock said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think the two best teams, from a talent perspective in the league that I've seen last year and then again this year, are Philadelphia and Baltimore.
Mike Mayock, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Rich's A Bit Too Early NFL Power Rankings
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 6, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Top Player Lists“I have four franchise quarterbacks this year... And at number five, I got Jaden Daniels.”
  2. 2Power Rankings“I think the two best teams, from a talent perspective in the league Mhmm. That I've seen last year and then again this year, are Philadelphia and Baltimore.”
  3. 3Washington Commanders to beat expectations“I don't think Washington is, a one year aberration... I don't think they're an aberration. I think they're the real deal.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“I have four franchise quarterbacks this year... And at number…”1Top Player Lists—9550+90
“I think the two best teams, from a talent perspective in the…”2Power Rankings—1001000
Washington Commanders to beat expectations3Surprise Team Calls————
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting97.575

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 power ranking, 1 surprise team call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 97.5 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Top Player Lists

    “I have four franchise quarterbacks this year... And at number five, I got Jaden Daniels.”

    VerdictHit
    95Hit · naive 50
    95this call50a naive guess45better than naive2difficulty+90skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    90
    placed:
    5
    season:
    2025
    players:
    5
    accuracy:
    95
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 5: 95
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “I think the two best teams, from a talent perspective in the league Mhmm. That I've seen last year and then again this year, are Philadelphia and Baltimore.”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Surprise Team CallsWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    97.5naive 75

Others on the same people

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