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Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 21, 2025

Jeremiah's top-150 draft board, as read out on the show, ranks Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Ashton Jeanty third, with Cam Ward eighth and Shedeur Sanders 20th.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

69Close · out of 100
Top Player ListsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
68.75This callout of 100
#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

Number one overall, Travis Hunter.
Daniel Jeremiah’s words, quoted for attribution
The episode
NFL Draft: It's Too Quiet...Something Insane Is Going To Happen
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 68.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Top Player Lists

    “Here's here's Daniel Jeremiah's top five players on his draft board... Travis Hunter, one. Abdul Carter, two. Number three is Ashton Gentry... Number four is Mason Graham, and then number five is Jalen Walker... Number six, Tyler Warren. Number seven, Colston Loveland... Eight, it there's Cam Ward. Arman Mambu is nine, and Jada Baron is 10... Will Campbell, 11. Jahad Campbell, 12. Omarion Hampton, 13. Matthew Golden, 14. Nick Emanwori, 15. Will Johnson out of Michigan 16. Tyler Booker of Alabama, Emeka Abuka of Ohio State... one above 19, Tech McMillan... And then number 20... there's Shador Sanders.”

    VerdictClose
    68.75Close · naive 50
    68.75this call50a naive guess18.75better than naive2difficulty+37.5skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    37.5
    placed:
    16
    season:
    2025
    players:
    20
    accuracy:
    68.75
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    CB 3: 100, LB 3: 0, RB 2: 100, TE 2: 100, QB 2: 100, OT 2: 100, WR 2: 0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

More top player lists

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.