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Gene ChamberlainSep 5, 2026

Chamberlain argues the Bears' cap restructuring won't lead to a splashy edge-rusher trade for Maxx Crosby or Josh Sweat, and that Marcus Davenport will be promoted from the practice squad to the 53-man roster as their veteran edge help. They also describe the Bears opening the season with rookie Dillon Thieneman starting at safety and Cam Lewis at the deep safety spot.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Gene Chamberlain said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Either way, neither is coming to Chicago as an edge rusher and the Chicago cash situation probably means no one is coming beyond Davenport at a little over the veteran's minimum.
Gene Chamberlain, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Why Safety and Not Edge Could Be Bears Target After Restructured Deals
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 5
  2. GradedOct 4
  1. 1Marcus Davenport to make the roster“The edge rusher they have to pay off that cap total is defensive end Marcus Davenport when they do move him on the 53-man roster.”
  2. 2Cam Lewis to be 1st on the depth chart“He was supposed to be the deep safety. They'll have Cam Lewis at that spot, instead”
  3. 3Dillon Thieneman to be 1st on the depth chart“They're going into the season starting rookie Dillon Thieneman but not at the safety spot they intended.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Marcus Davenport to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls1 week on a 531001000
Cam Lewis to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Dillon Thieneman to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Dillon Thieneman · 2026 season

7 calls from 5 pundits between 1 and 1. Gene Chamberlain said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Gene Chamberlain — 1the room — 7 calls from 5 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsMarcus DavenportChicago Bears

    Marcus Davenport to make the roster

    What happened1 week on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Marcus Davenport
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    4
    weeks on the practice squad:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsCam LewisChicago Bears

    Cam Lewis to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsDillon ThienemanChicago Bears

    Dillon Thieneman to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.