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Mike MoraitisAug 14, 2026

Previewing the Bears' first 2026 preseason game, Moraitis says first-round pick Dillon Thieneman is set to start at safety as a rookie and that sixth-rounder Jordan van den Berg's rise in camp means they will make the roster.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Mike Moraitis said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
van den Berg has even gotten looks with the ones, which is a good sign he's going to make the roster.
Mike Moraitis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Bears Rookies Who Will Stand Out the Most in Preseason Action vs. Browns
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 14
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Jordan van den Berg to make the roster“van den Berg has even gotten looks with the ones, which is a good sign he's going to make the roster.”
  2. 2Dillon Thieneman to be 1st on the depth chart“Thieneman is slated to start at safety in his first season in the NFL”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jordan van den Berg to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531000+200
Dillon Thieneman to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Dillon Thieneman · 2026 season

7 calls from 5 pundits between 1 and 1. Mike Moraitis said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Mike Moraitis — 1the room — 7 calls from 5 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsJordan van den BergChicago Bears

    Jordan van den Berg to make the roster

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Jordan van den Berg
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDillon ThienemanChicago Bears

    Dillon Thieneman to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.