John Breech· Oct 3, 2026
Breech picked winners and exact final scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Browns over the Steelers on Thursday night and the winless Texans beating the Cowboys, plus a Bengals shootout win over Jacksonville.
“I'm taking the BROWNS in an upset.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
17 checkable claims — 16 score predictions and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 76.2 out of 100, against 10.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Colts at Commanders 24 calls
- Cowboys at Texans 31 calls
- Packers at Buccaneers 22 calls
- Rams at Eagles 28 calls
- Titans at Ravens 17 calls
- Patriots at Bills 36 calls
- Jets at Bears 26 calls
- Cardinals at Giants 20 calls
- Jaguars at Bengals 30 calls
- Dolphins at Vikings 23 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 35 calls
- Chargers at Seahawks 25 calls
- Broncos at 49ers 27 calls
- Lions at Panthers 42 calls
- Falcons at Saints 21 calls
- Browns at Steelers 10 calls
17 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsOct 3, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 24 — Commanders 17
“Colts 24-17 over Commanders”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 10.86+119.56 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-13
- skill:
- 119.56
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 76.19
- baseline:
- 10.86
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.56
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansOct 3, 2026
Houston Texans 23 — Cowboys 20
“PICK: Texans (-2.5) 23-20 over Cowboys”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsOct 3, 2026
Buffalo Bills 30 — Patriots 20
“Bills 30-20 over Patriots”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsArizona CardinalsOct 3, 2026
Arizona Cardinals 20 — Giants 17
“Cardinals 20-17 over Giants”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 3, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 20
“Rams 27-20 over Eagles”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersNew Orleans SaintsOct 3, 2026
New Orleans Saints to win the division
“The Saints were my pick to win the NFC South this year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 3, 2026
Detroit Lions 31 — Panthers 23
“Lions 31-23 over Panthers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsOct 3, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Raiders 23
“PICK: Chiefs (-4.5) 30-23 over Raiders”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsOct 3, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 26 — Saints 23
“PICK: Falcons (+2.5) 26-23 over Saints”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 3, 2026
Green Bay Packers 20 — Buccaneers 16
“Packers 20-16 over Buccaneers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 3, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 31 — Broncos 24
“49ers 31-24 over Broncos”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksOct 3, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Chargers 21
“Seahawks 24-21 over Chargers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensOct 3, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 27 — Titans 13
“Ravens 27-13 over Titans”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsNew York JetsOct 3, 2026
New York Jets 23 — Bears 16
“Jets 23-16 over Bears”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsOct 3, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 34 — Jaguars 31
“PICK : Bengals (-2.5) 34-31 over Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsOct 3, 2026
Cleveland Browns 19 — Steelers 16
“PICK: Browns (+2.5) 19-16 over Steelers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsMinnesota VikingsOct 3, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 20 — Dolphins 13
“Vikings 20-13 over Dolphins”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Christian BooherDepth Chart Calls · Blake MillerMiss · 0Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 64Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 76Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 69Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Washington CommandersMiss · 19Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 50Simms picked Pittsburgh to win a close, low-scoring Thursday night game in Cleveland by a late field goal, 20-17, and expected Joey Porter Jr.'s market value to land in the low-to-mid $20 million range, with a possible franchise tag from Dallas after the season.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 48Dajani picked the Steelers 21-17 over the Browns on Thursday night and the Broncos to win 24-23 at the 49ers in Week 4.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 43Dubin picked the Steelers to win 20-14 in Cleveland on Thursday night and the Texans to beat the Cowboys 24-21 in Week 4.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 48Sullivan picked the Steelers 21-17 over the Browns on Thursday night and the Rams to beat the Eagles 24-20 in Week 4.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Pittsburgh SteelersClose · 43Dubin picks the Steelers to beat the Browns 20-14 on Thursday night in Cleveland, saying he trusts Pittsburgh's offense slightly more than Cleveland's and doubts the Browns can move the ball consistently.